Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb44a06c677ce7a47e5fd2007182e020a577395dc3613ad55d3d576e33964c3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8cd…02cdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…0306backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ef…9aefbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 9,881$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,185$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,137$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 53c | 3,237$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.78 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 2c | 2,209$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 4c | 1,923$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 51c | 1,632$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.25 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,483$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 13c | 1,368$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 47c | 1,036$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 27c | 999.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 55c | 976.97$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked Yes | 46c | 896$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 59c | 887.14$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 44c | 862.22$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.25 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 38c | 821.56$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.96 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 3c | 803.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…78b9backed Yes | 53c | 795.65$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 54c | 795$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 791.93$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.91 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked Yes | 48c | 781.6$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed No | 42c | 743.23$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 44c | 645$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 56c | 596$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 51c | 590$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 50c | 587$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.52 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 54c | 572$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 53c | 565$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcc…00c9backed Yes | 53c | 534.83$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 525.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed Yes | 46c | 525$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…d07cbacked No | 46c | 492.27$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 17c | 487.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 56c | 487$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 43c | 467.86$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.17 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 22c | 444.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 41c | 426.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.24 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 46c | 418$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…6533backed No | 54c | 418$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 53c | 418$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…d7a3backed Yes | 49c | 409.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 56c | 405.01$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.93 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.34 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…7d31backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…deeebacked Yes | 57c | 378.69$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes | 9c | 344.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 49c | 339.65$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.75 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…67dcbacked Yes | 28c | 326.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 44c | 319.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 57c | 306.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 76c | 281.8$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 48c | 257.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 58c | 256.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed Yes | 40c | 242.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 49c | 204.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked No | 47c | 198$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes | 44c | 196$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 57c | 187$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 44c | 183.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 57c | 181.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 42c | 180.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 53c | 176$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 65c | 175.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…dae3backed No | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 56c | 158$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 53c | 157$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 60c | 148.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…7d80backed Yes | 29c | 147.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 53c | 139$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 43c | 137$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked No | 47c | 131$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No | 47c | 129$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 48c | 127$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…f704backed Yes | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 52c | 123.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed No | 53c | 120.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…bc8abacked No | 46c | 114$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 53c | 107.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 52c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked No | 54c | 101$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…6a7ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d5f6backed Yes | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 37c | 94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed No | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed Yes | 52c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 53c | 83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…5ce0backed Yes | 55c | 80.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…59d2backed No | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?this page
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes won
- Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.