TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13a9…e573

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
308
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT12347.2%58 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.35
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.99
Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$87.96
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.99
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$92.97
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Jalen Brunson Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102.01
Devin Vassell Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$46.02
OG Anunoby Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$89.99
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97.98
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$17.32
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.69
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$121.97
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT12025.8%31 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Xiaodi Youbacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Set 1 Winner: Micic vs Zhengbacked Micic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyukbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Set 1 Winner: Fokina vs Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Set 1 Winner: Hurkacz vs Paulbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.44
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Mochizukibacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.55
Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs Fonsecabacked Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Quito: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Segundo Goity Zapico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Set 1 Winner: Wawrinka vs Berrettinibacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
ITF Kamen: Jannik Soetebier vs Benito Sanchez Martinezbacked Jannik Soetebier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.49
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Gaja Djurickovicbacked Gaja Djurickovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Despina Papamichail vs Claire Liubacked Despina Papamichail · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.41
Set Handicap: Popyrin (-1.5) vs Choinski (+1.5)backed Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$73
Targu Mures: Miguel Tobon vs Martin Krumichbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Liam Broady vs August Holmgrenbacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.99
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT4119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$67.92
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.18
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$165.92
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.15
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+155.1%+$142.2
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.29
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.5
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$296
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Robert Smullen be the Republican nominee for NY-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempobacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$5.05
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$27.9
PortlandFire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
All 9 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Header" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.