Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af009052969324fe877b8339e173ae39c8c8c6b7db75a41cd091bfe4ec04265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 31c | 27,213$8,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,339.38 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 71c | 24,968$17,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,318.54 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked No | 76c | 20,269$15,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.31 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 27c | 12,389$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.32 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 28c | 10,783$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 7,275$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.19 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 43c | 6,211$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.72 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 35c | 5,546$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 5,440$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 66c | 5,436$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.44 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 38c | 4,308$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…921bbacked Yes | 34c | 4,014$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613e…1a59backed Yes | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 28c | 3,675$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.9 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 3,500$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.99 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 26c | 3,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 42c | 2,940$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 64c | 2,636$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 34c | 2,529$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.97 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 67c | 2,249$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.8 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 2,028$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.98 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 27c | 1,914$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.72 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 26c | 1,858$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.53 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…5eefbacked Yes | 40c | 1,600$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 71c | 1,590$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.43 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577a…6c80backed No | 64c | 1,524$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…9a8dbacked No | 58c | 1,447$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed No | 70c | 1,395$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 72c | 1,358$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 65c | 1,331$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.62 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,329$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,246$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 1,164$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.77 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 56c | 1,122$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 69c | 1,120$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2191…628ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,076$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked No | 74c | 1,032$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 64c | 1,030$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.91 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…bbbebacked Yes | 41c | 885.16$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d44…46e3backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…97c5backed Yes | 10c | 721.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked No | 62c | 708.25$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 703.67$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.52 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 37c | 641$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.17 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 33c | 552.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 58c | 523.51$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 32c | 516.83$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.39 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked No | 64c | 490.4$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 40c | 483.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed Yes | 28c | 455.19$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…625fbacked Yes | 5c | 413.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 30c | 410.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 36c | 408.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 399.83$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked No | 55c | 395.81$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 26c | 394.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 62c | 389.79$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…9ab8backed Yes | 46c | 387.04$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 347.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed No | 48c | 345.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 345.77$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 63c | 318.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 32c | 311.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 63c | 299.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 48c | 292.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 34c | 289.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 139 | 19.4%27 W · 112 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 35c | 287.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 276.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 57c | 268.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 58c | 258.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…407ebacked No | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…bbb3backed No | 60c | 250$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked Yes | 32c | 249.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 63c | 249$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed No | 56c | 245.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 235$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…8ecfbacked Yes | 24c | 228.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed No | 64c | 225.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3b06backed No | 58c | 212.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…35ebbacked No | 58c | 206$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 33c | 205.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 73c | 204.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked No | 58c | 201.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?this page
- Will Brad Lander be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No won
- Will Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No won
- Will George Conway be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No won
- Will Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No won
- Will Julie Menin be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No won
- Will Lina Khan be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No won
- Will Liz Krueger be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No won
- Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes won
- Will Scott Stringer be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.