TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x10b2…4ceb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
881
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 61 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT24224.4%59 W · 183 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 242 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$29.56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.87
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.68
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.64
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.87
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.07
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.75
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+161.7%+$31.1
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.52
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.72
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.59
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+245.6%+$222.31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+419.2%+$552.79
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.67
Showing 25 of 242 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7524%18 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.8%+$1,475.27
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$15.49
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.28
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$35.36
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+141%+$15.02
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+242.9%+$39.84
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT6934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.3
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+206.7%+$58.36
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.01
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.79
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.16
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.98
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.09
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.27
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.13
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$52.46
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.91
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.2
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.58
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+237%+$649.96
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.28
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$143.18
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$314.42
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.71
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.22
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.63
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+320%+$149.72
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+325.7%+$50.36
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT5623.2%13 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$16.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.35
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$69.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.55
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.35
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+456.3%+$487.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$52.38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.48
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.62
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$94.24
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.31
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT5018%9 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.05
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.88
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.42
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.49
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.89
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.06
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+333.7%+$353.81
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+384.6%+$384.57
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.59
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.03
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.15
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$28.24
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.69
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$39.45
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.14
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.44
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$19.27
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+179%+$51.58
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.97
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.22
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$21.39
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$40.99
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$802.14
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+165.1%+$498.12
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.84
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.43
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT4231%13 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.8
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+168.3%+$136.87
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.09
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$36.06
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$50.22
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.92
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.44
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+431.1%+$70.26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.58
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.67
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$344.73
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.78
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$80.16
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$173.25
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.56
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.99
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.46
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+386.7%+$43.66
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$7.12
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.62
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.93
Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.26
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.98
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$14.74
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.39
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.98
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+268.3%+$55.27
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.41
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$96.06
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Anastasiia Sobolievabacked Anastasiia Sobolieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.52
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.54
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.99
Nottingham Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Tatjana Mariabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.05
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Angelina Voloshchukbacked Angelina Voloshchuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Dublin: Bernard Tomic vs Conor Gannonbacked Conor Gannon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+253%+$45.1
Figueira Da Foz: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Lucrezia Stefaninibacked Lucrezia Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.43
Parma: Marco Cecchinato vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+141%+$39.26
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Vera Zvonareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+162.7%+$221.53
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.98
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.05
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.83
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabherbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.86
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$77.97
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$57.13
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicovabacked Barbora Palicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+424.1%+$311.56
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Masamichi Imamurabacked Masamichi Imamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.95
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osakabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.96
Maia vs. Garcia: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$11.78
Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Andrea Lazaro Garcia: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$13.1
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$91.04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.9
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$943.34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.76
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$49.58
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.95
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.85
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.78
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$191.63
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.7
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.39
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.85
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$283.45
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54.92
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.9%+$96
All 22 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.04
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.67
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$83.02
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.58
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.07
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.67
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+141.1%+$73.67
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.89
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+324%+$52.31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.73
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$14.85
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+181.5%+$25.81
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+263.7%+$27.68
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+130%+$15.17
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.84
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$48.34
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C or higher on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$152.99
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.15
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.82
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25.5%+$8.43
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+387.8%+$101.32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.95
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.86
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.41
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.5%+$11.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+83.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+331%+$170.4
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$29.74
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+199.2%+$78.07
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.9%+$34.88
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.5%+$68.59
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.37
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.5%+$54.27
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+36.4%+$88.25
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,584Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25.7%+$1,436.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.82
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.39
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.12
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$15.06
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$45.02
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+62.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+217.9%+$70.96
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.54
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$106.98
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.48
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.94
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$43.35
LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winnerbacked HMBLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+130.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.47
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.95
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.86
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.79
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,199.7%+$1,044.68
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+446.4%+$56.68
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$288.6
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+141.1%+$141.06
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.25
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$167.3
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+86.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+160.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170%+$149.92
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$17.76
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+39%+$52.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Kalahari Tournament, Women: Sierra Leone vs Lesotho - Toss Match Double Lesotho Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Heretics win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.