Stocks · resolved market
Will Google reach $320 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69aebc92052415fd582e1a419e26988de047fdba7accdf5b2ab1005c33cecf64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 29c | 20,841$6,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010.58 | 1,111 | 43.7%486 W · 625 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 61c | 3,381$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.3 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…a3f5backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…9339backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 9cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x053e…00c1backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 9cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…ad7fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +200.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…85a0backed Yes | 6c | 967.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 9cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…c988backed Yes | 6c | 882.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 715$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 51c | 560.73$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…1614backed Yes | 52c | 526.85$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.64 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed Yes | 13c | 525$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 56c | 406$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 56c | 346.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf9…cffdbacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 298.08$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.34 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked No | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 64c | 230$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 217.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…b820backed No | 74c | 203.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 58c | 195.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…546abacked No | 72c | 152.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…962ebacked No | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 45c | 149$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed No | 64c | 111.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 59c | 110.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…c57fbacked No | 47c | 105.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 96.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed Yes | 31c | 92.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 90.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2a83backed No | 37c | 76.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 22c | 71.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 164 | 26.8%44 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 34c | 64.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 28c | 53.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 37c | 45.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 49c | 40.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc014…5ff4backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…de3cbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 36c | 30.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 49c | 30.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed No | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 46c | 25.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…233abacked Yes | 45c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d67…e602backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed No | 63c | 24.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 77c | 21.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 158 | 35.4%56 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…3108backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…7dcabacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 77c | 13.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google reach $320 in March?this page
- Will Google dip to $215 in March?No won
- Will Google dip to $240 in March?No won
- Will Google dip to $260 in March?No won
- Will Google dip to $275 in March?Yes won
- Will Google dip to $290 in March?Yes won
- Will Google dip to $300 in March?Yes won
- Will Google reach $330 in March?No won
- Will Google reach $340 in March?No won
- Will Google reach $355 in March?No won
- Will Google reach $375 in March?No won
- Will Google reach $395 in March?No won
- Will Google reach $420 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.