TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc348…2a83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Raphinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.5
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ecuador be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Over $7M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.7%+$57.7
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$54
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$234
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$151
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$19.7
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+121.7%+$355.43
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+30.6%+$75.98
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$279
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.02
Will Elon tweet 175–189 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$146.47
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.69
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.03
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.23
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$99.99
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+105.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Detroit record the first snowfall?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+257.1%+$35.99
Will Chicago record the first snowfall?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+354.5%+$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+257.1%+$216
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.