Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b536cb91aadf5c03fe5a5fb316399cb84b461f33d74e49f84005be32c1b5f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x503a…8322backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 26c | 1,706$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.37 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,353$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 70c | 1,020$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 73c | 1,004$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.11 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 70c | 945.61$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 26c | 765.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 74c | 667$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…6cf1backed Yes | 31c | 578.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 28c | 528.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 72c | 297$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 32c | 284$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 268.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 23c | 221.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 13c | 218.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 18c | 205.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 26c | 201.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 21c | 189.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 74c | 187$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 30c | 171.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…8a07backed Yes | 28c | 169.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 72c | 151.37$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 76c | 139.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 29c | 137.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 29c | 135.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…b3e1backed No | 78c | 119$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 113.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 78c | 109.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 73c | 108.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 106.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2a83backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 21c | 99.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 81.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 68c | 65.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 78c | 54.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 72c | 50.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…b4bbbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 45.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e15…d2c9backed Yes | 30c | 44.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 31.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 30.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 78c | 20.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.