TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcef1…8d6dbacked No63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.992669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed No65c1,800$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.6519332.6%63 W · 130 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked No60c1,634$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9888133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8b…645cbacked Yes58c1,416$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.6924440.2%98 W · 146 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes78c1,250$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.2321946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes37c1,018$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.3340649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes59c849.95$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9511233.9%38 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes79c845.73$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8923644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf436…fa68backed No69c789.75$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.63520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89f…1c44backed Yes37c738.59$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.781258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick33cpaid+122.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No59c676.23$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.4487837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No59c665$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.1612046.7%56 W · 64 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed No65c640$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.612544.8%56 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes39c640$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.46541.5%27 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed Yes35c607$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.623729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No33c606.26$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.992,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee0…1adebacked Yes37c587.72$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.72933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes39c579$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3526037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No42c564.84$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.432,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No62c536.7$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.371,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes34c519.97$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.0343835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes46c508.62$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32034151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No58c457.45$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.42,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes38c452.73$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.697621.1%16 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No62c446$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5620652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No4c416.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3948438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed No5c408.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.422317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes39c396.85$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.086426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No24c386.56$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7780225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…5961backed Yes39c370$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.964930.6%15 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No8c360$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes34c347$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0219345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…7823backed No61c320.85$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes36c320.32$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7335033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes31c310.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6551315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x668f…05f3backed No63c268.73$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No64c268.6$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6517558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No22c259$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6658926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No69c249.34$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.087950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No37c233.18$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1728554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes38c229.08$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9530241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes36c223$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7228547.7%136 W · 149 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb1a…cedbbacked Yes40c206$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes37c203.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.213556.3%76 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes35c179.71$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.531540%6 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No61c176.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.958041.3%33 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No58c175$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.517632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No62c166.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7918139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No8c136.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5236335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes32c133.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6942737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes38c125$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes33c120.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8925443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes33c114.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.27639.5%30 W · 46 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5211…6cd3backed Yes39c111.4$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No64c111.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9228256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes37c109.88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2228148.4%136 W · 145 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No62c108.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0712150.4%61 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x657c…ebc3backed Yes37c107.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.068726.4%23 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No62c106.76$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.291,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…15f9backed Yes39c106.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f0…78babacked Yes35c106$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.91353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed Yes36c105$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.27553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb481…94d0backed Yes36c103.91$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+117%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c96…451abacked Yes39c100.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7525945.2%117 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes32c99.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.995650%28 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes30c92.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0420142.8%86 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No32c92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.31,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Yes36c89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9615655.8%87 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No15c86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1134035%119 W · 221 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked No64c85.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.012065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No60c85.45$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8920862%129 W · 79 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x016f…716abacked Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x092f…d9fdbacked Yes58c82.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7618553%98 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c30…7673backed No63c81.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.352951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.611241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No58c74.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.316246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes31c72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No70c69.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9416540.6%67 W · 98 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57ee…7b80backed Yes37c68.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.412835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No63c65.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No63c63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x078e…115dbacked Yes40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0f…1147backed Yes34c59.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick35cpaid+67.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes38c58.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3622243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6900…1285backed No62c58.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.371421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-65.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd773…41e5backed No61c57.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No61c56.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9810966.1%72 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb2…b26cbacked No62c56.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.924461.4%27 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes30c54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.82,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes49c51.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3121517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305450%27 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8d…43a8backed No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0720…89a7backed No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3123543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.516741.9%70 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3223245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x023d…3431backed No58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.