Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c93fccd198ec7832c0486de3f594247a1a3339a4a9ca0c3b72c341c678205ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcef1…8d6dbacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed No | 65c | 1,800$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.65 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked No | 60c | 1,634$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8b…645cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,416$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.69 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 78c | 1,250$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.23 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,018$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.33 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 59c | 849.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.95 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 79c | 845.73$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…fa68backed No | 69c | 789.75$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 37c | 738.59$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 59c | 676.23$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.44 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 59c | 665$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.16 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 65c | 640$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.6 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked Yes | 39c | 640$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…2450backed Yes | 35c | 607$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.62 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 33c | 606.26$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee0…1adebacked Yes | 37c | 587.72$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 39c | 579$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.35 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 42c | 564.84$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.43 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 536.7$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.37 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 34c | 519.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.03 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 46c | 508.62$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 58c | 457.45$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 38c | 452.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.69 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 62c | 446$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.56 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 4c | 416.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed No | 5c | 408.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 39c | 396.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.08 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 386.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 39c | 370$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 360$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 34c | 347$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.02 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…7823backed No | 61c | 320.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 36c | 320.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.73 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 31c | 310.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.65 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…05f3backed No | 63c | 268.73$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 268.6$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 22c | 259$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 69c | 249.34$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 233.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 38c | 229.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 36c | 223$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…cedbbacked Yes | 40c | 206$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 37c | 203.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes | 35c | 179.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 61c | 176.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 58c | 175$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 62c | 166.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 8c | 136.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 32c | 133.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 38c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 33c | 120.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 33c | 114.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5211…6cd3backed Yes | 39c | 111.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 111.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 37c | 109.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 62c | 108.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…ebc3backed Yes | 37c | 107.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 106.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…15f9backed Yes | 39c | 106.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…78babacked Yes | 35c | 106$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Yes | 36c | 105$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…94d0backed Yes | 36c | 103.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…451abacked Yes | 39c | 100.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 30c | 92.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 32c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 36c | 89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 15c | 86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked No | 64c | 85.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 85.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016f…716abacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…d9fdbacked Yes | 58c | 82.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed No | 63c | 81.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 58c | 74.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 31c | 72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 70c | 69.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 37c | 68.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 63c | 65.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 63c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…115dbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…1147backed Yes | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 38c | 58.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6900…1285backed No | 62c | 58.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…41e5backed No | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 61c | 56.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked No | 62c | 56.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 49c | 51.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…43a8backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…89a7backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.