TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c30…7673

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$41.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.62
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$18.8
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.2
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.93
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.63
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.35
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+60%+$15
Will Harry Kane score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.1
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.7
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Spread: Spain (-4.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$49.66
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$70
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Micron (MU) close above $1,100 end of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$250.19
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.6
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26%+$227
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $185?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.2%+$33.65
Will Google reach $385 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$80
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $190?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+34.3%+$35.97
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$252.29
Will Google dip to $290 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$36
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$81.7
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,800 (LOW) in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+185.7%+$24.52
Will Google reach $340 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$152.02
Will NVIDIA dip to $184 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Will Google reach $330 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.19
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295–310 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$131.19
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+97.9%+$168.2
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 22 above $315?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $190 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 15 above $305?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 8 above $310?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$306
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 8 above $185?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+37%+$29.73
Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+28.3%+$6.81
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 17 above $295?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+30.1%+$69.46
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+55.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$312
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$248
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$246
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$514
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,042
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$91.8
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+189.9%+$262
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+278.8%+$1,104
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-74.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed AC Monza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$890
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.45
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$15
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$119.92
Will Pisa SC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32.3
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+116%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$219
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,925Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$1,589.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.3%+$208.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$36.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$138.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.