Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19b9a63980a6387b5962e3c953e395a1bec5a43eb4f33f5b285d8e86ce90b93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9332…0f89backed No | 1c | 8,709$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 52c | 6,238$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7f22backed No | 1c | 5,493$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 5,375$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 72c | 5,211$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d82…c7e9backed No | 46c | 4,575$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…b77bbacked No | 2c | 4,500$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed No | 1c | 4,260$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +267.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cd…47e5backed No | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 2,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Yes | 56c | 2,447$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.3 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 51c | 2,446$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.56 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc571…4966backed No | 43c | 2,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed No | 1c | 2,205$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0f…da52backed No | 1c | 2,054$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 2,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…e40bbacked No | 8c | 1,956$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 52c | 1,933$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.53 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed No | 3c | 1,782$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…2190backed No | 2c | 1,609$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,460$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 48c | 1,445$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.17 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,398$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…de6fbacked No | 2c | 1,237$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 25c | 1,184$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.72 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…2d72backed No | 3c | 1,168$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 6c | 1,154$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6822…2e97backed No | 43c | 1,120$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 55c | 1,102$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.32 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 50c | 905$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.54 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes | 56c | 900.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.86 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…1a66backed No | 1c | 835.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 798.17$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.32 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…4683backed No | 51c | 639.7$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 59c | 565$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed No | 46c | 563.63$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 58c | 560.1$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 57c | 557.36$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked No | 40c | 490$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +167%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…4c16backed No | 2c | 489.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 47c | 484$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.48 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…bad6backed No | 2c | 463.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 454.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed Yes | 56c | 430$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 48c | 386.02$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.94 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…0dc2backed No | 4c | 350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 14c | 345$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…c780backed Yes | 63c | 288.35$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…e374backed No | 20c | 276.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa81f…a9b9backed No | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 56c | 220$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…15a6backed No | 41c | 217.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…9cccbacked No | 53c | 187.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…fd32backed No | 55c | 182.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 56c | 167$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…f345backed No | 27c | 160.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 77c | 150.3$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…7ca1backed No | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a22…6de6backed No | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 72c | 135$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…955abacked No | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…b3d3backed No | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…a1cdbacked Yes | 54c | 120.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 47c | 117.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 1,051 | 34.7%365 W · 686 L | -93.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…29ddbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b6…3740backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…2bddbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…42babacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…3fb1backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4faabacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 15cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…7ba9backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 71c | 97.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 54c | 97.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 87.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…9073backed Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d4…2559backed No | 37c | 71.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…c683backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 50c | 57.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f67cbacked No | 23c | 50.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…64b6backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 51c | 48.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…e6a3backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Yes | 75c | 37.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1aa…f55dbacked No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…1ed1backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09c…682ebacked Yes | 65c | 31.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.