Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc158974bca9c2d673c741665d442f97eed067204128d1993733625d815ce5746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 25,328$18,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,845.45 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 43c | 13,722$5,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.44 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Yes | 9c | 12,812$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…2a3ebacked Yes | 4c | 12,431$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed Yes | 19c | 7,564$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.67 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 16c | 6,709$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.47 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked No | 73c | 6,227$4,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.3 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 31c | 4,229$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 3,882$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.77 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 30c | 3,005$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.96 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…e473backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 64c | 2,485$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.96 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 2,225$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 2,166$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.52 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,131$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 10c | 2,078$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…754ebacked No | 53c | 1,781$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.49 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 33c | 1,763$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.01 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d82…c7e9backed No | 75c | 1,755$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…8999backed Yes | 24c | 1,700$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…7750backed Yes | 30c | 1,685$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 76c | 1,510$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8972…c3d5backed Yes | 27c | 1,502$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b4…f425backed Yes | 25c | 1,291$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…c877backed No | 78c | 1,285$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 74c | 1,212$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.77 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…4568backed Yes | 2c | 1,088$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 1,077$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed Yes | 38c | 1,014$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…e374backed Yes | 28c | 978.9$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 969.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…27cfbacked Yes | 21c | 948.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 75c | 905$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.35 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 27c | 839.17$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…f694backed Yes | 22c | 795.35$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…8c4fbacked Yes | 34c | 794.52$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…749cbacked Yes | 27c | 742.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed No | 61c | 701.14$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.14 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 50c | 668.07$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.25 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 29c | 649.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4557backed Yes | 31c | 646.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed No | 71c | 641.66$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 79c | 639.35$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 4c | 631.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 29c | 627.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.44 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…8b16backed No | 70c | 616.35$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8c20backed Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…4464backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…2dcfbacked Yes | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 26c | 594.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 80c | 594.03$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 62c | 564$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.32 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 71c | 553$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 542.09$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 1,051 | 34.7%365 W · 686 L | -93.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 25c | 523.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 28c | 520.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 77c | 517.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.69 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…01ccbacked Yes | 26c | 506.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…8f3bbacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…a0bfbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 8c | 484$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 464.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…6052backed Yes | 39c | 456.06$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…c707backed No | 66c | 455.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 70c | 450$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…c399backed Yes | 32c | 437.39$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 35c | 418.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.91 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…201abacked Yes | 43c | 415.19$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…b8edbacked Yes | 32c | 405.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…409cbacked No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…8d64backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 21c | 389.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…613cbacked Yes | 34c | 381.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 52c | 375.81$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.22 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 18c | 375$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 374.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 77c | 367.97$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 37c | 359.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…4500backed Yes | 5c | 345.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bd…193abacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 27c | 330.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.05 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 65c | 324.69$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…c3ddbacked No | 64c | 321.88$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…1c8cbacked No | 33c | 321$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.13 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…d3fdbacked Yes | 29c | 305.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 73c | 305$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…12e4backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…3b20backed Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 78c | 294.27$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed No | 74c | 285.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +12.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 75c | 284.45$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked No | 66c | 284.11$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.