Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e62449468e6a5f722dc7fb9dec72c7409da0ce8f7b9dfc06cda7788439da96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Yes | 4c | 33,465$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed Yes | 7c | 27,475$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 11c | 15,579$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.13 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 2c | 7,916$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes | 21c | 7,284$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 5,125$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.07 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 15c | 4,537$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.48 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…27cfbacked Yes | 9c | 3,251$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…e405backed Yes | 21c | 2,903$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…3b61backed Yes | 19c | 2,820$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 7c | 2,778$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 8c | 2,164$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 16c | 2,060$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.93 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…8d64backed Yes | 6c | 1,880$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 6c | 1,843$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…7b31backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,346$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed Yes | 10c | 1,303$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 1,246$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 1,118$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…b977backed Yes | 15c | 1,008$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…683ebacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 3c | 903.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 7c | 835.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 13c | 802.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 15c | 729.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 2c | 666.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba0…cba6backed Yes | 16c | 663.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 27c | 632.45$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…5a75backed Yes | 10c | 618.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…ebefbacked Yes | 17c | 589.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…613cbacked Yes | 17c | 575.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…a9f3backed Yes | 17c | 526.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 4c | 525.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…a0bfbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…b247backed No | 70c | 499.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…abadbacked Yes | 16c | 495.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 15c | 491.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…6052backed Yes | 18c | 423.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 422.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…93e8backed Yes | 19c | 416.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…4ff5backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…e410backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…652bbacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…85edbacked Yes | 3c | 375.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…7084backed Yes | 13c | 373.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 4c | 371.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…b8edbacked Yes | 12c | 348.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59f8…375bbacked No | 79c | 338.13$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e17…320dbacked Yes | 15c | 332.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes | 8c | 332.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 16c | 329$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…261ebacked Yes | 13c | 324.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5d…4261backed No | 79c | 318.61$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…a23abacked Yes | 29c | 314.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…ea39backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…c399backed Yes | 16c | 299.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…31b9backed Yes | 4c | 290.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked No | 74c | 267.34$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…3926backed Yes | 8c | 262.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 16c | 251.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc9…93b4backed Yes | 20c | 249.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 243.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 241.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…b825backed Yes | 18c | 230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 16c | 228$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…50e1backed Yes | 18c | 225.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bc…1c88backed Yes | 7c | 211.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…d867backed Yes | 10c | 211.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193e…76ebbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…e666backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…cc4cbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +351.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…435bbacked Yes | 16c | 189$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 5c | 188$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 6c | 178.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -82%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…2d80backed No | 79c | 169.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 18c | 166.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…2892backed Yes | 32c | 156.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…2cffbacked Yes | 11c | 154.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…384abacked Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…7750backed Yes | 7c | 146.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812b…256cbacked Yes | 19c | 133.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 42c | 129.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.36per pick | 41cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…2b9abacked Yes | 15c | 126.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…889fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…d88cbacked Yes | 16c | 124.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 71c | 112.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…db7abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 14c | 98.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 11c | 93.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…493ebacked No | 79c | 88.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…ac87backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 75c | 75.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed No | 74c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…b413backed No | 77c | 65.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…f594backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.