Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd3301b6a5991234f6468891d6029cdfb9659dd8de455ee71afca6d5c09157ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf56b…d2e4backed Yes | 1c | 18,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 11,400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…b10bbacked Yes | 19c | 7,892$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343b…fda0backed Yes | 10c | 7,746$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…ecadbacked Yes | 8c | 6,631$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c57…d17fbacked Yes | 27c | 5,543$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.87 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…944ebacked Yes | 11c | 5,309$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…5899backed Yes | 3c | 4,721$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 4,612$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…b4d5backed Yes | 3c | 3,760$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 7c | 3,753$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.61 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 1c | 3,509$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 3,023$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184d…4e2fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…f265backed Yes | 3c | 2,214$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 72c | 1,989$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.74 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed Yes | 18c | 1,762$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 2c | 1,729$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 1,551$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 16c | 1,513$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 1,397$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,364$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…b977backed Yes | 10c | 1,289$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…3b84backed Yes | 3c | 1,136$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…8108backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 78c | 1,080$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.99 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,003$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 75c | 912.31$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 75c | 871.62$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 855$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…0f35backed No | 77c | 770.37$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked No | 73c | 748.83$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…c455backed No | 77c | 690.45$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…a2ddbacked Yes | 16c | 613.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Yes | 3c | 607.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…2d73backed Yes | 4c | 559.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…187bbacked Yes | 19c | 550$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…9fdabacked Yes | 4c | 518.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 24c | 499.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a56…3e36backed Yes | 29c | 495$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 466.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 455.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…6b74backed No | 67c | 448.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…4fa3backed Yes | 4c | 442.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…aa12backed Yes | 5c | 442.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed No | 75c | 431.1$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f65…0e39backed Yes | 3c | 430.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 78c | 405.53$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4056…bcf2backed Yes | 10c | 396.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 3c | 396.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…8df9backed Yes | 4c | 390.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…3f18backed No | 78c | 385.38$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…8145backed No | 66c | 377.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…767fbacked No | 69c | 375$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed No | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 55cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 73c | 350$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes | 4c | 343$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 69c | 315.96$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e5…470dbacked No | 77c | 315.82$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 310$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…4b26backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 293.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…8840backed Yes | 37c | 273.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 80c | 272$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 10c | 258$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 28c | 253.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…dc9fbacked Yes | 24c | 248.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 30c | 222.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…c399backed Yes | 6c | 217.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaae1…9e37backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…8f12backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…14fabacked Yes | 22c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…564cbacked Yes | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…dd4bbacked Yes | 7c | 172$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 73c | 170.15$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…35eabacked Yes | 10c | 149.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…e366backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 72c | 142.17$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 33c | 142$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…4622backed Yes | 19c | 131.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 69c | 109$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…4ac9backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…58dcbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…f0abbacked Yes | 29c | 98.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…7395backed Yes | 21c | 94.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 24c | 93.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…d62ebacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…c1b9backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…196cbacked Yes | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 32c | 56.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 72c | 54.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 52.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…a1cdbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…a1c0backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…834bbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…bcbcbacked No | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…9d2bbacked No | 73c | 24.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.