Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5bcd9a80b8784df8c957c3b01e4b11e7788d94d5a9c968dafa040d2e82e687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 49,988$34,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,535.44 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked Yes | 46c | 13,836$6,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,327.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Yes | 11c | 8,052$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 40c | 7,564$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.72 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes | 64c | 6,333$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 18c | 5,667$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.37 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 55c | 4,723$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 45c | 4,601$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.71 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 12c | 4,397$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.88 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,377$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 47c | 3,854$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.78 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…9822backed Yes | 28c | 3,624$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 36c | 3,033$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.33 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…63c6backed Yes | 2c | 2,896$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed No | 76c | 2,293$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked No | 48c | 2,202$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.88 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 2,165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 27c | 1,986$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 68c | 1,443$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.51 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 71c | 1,414$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 22c | 1,392$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.08 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 52c | 1,378$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.02 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked No | 39c | 1,227$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.68 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…754ebacked No | 62c | 1,149$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.9 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 20c | 1,139$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.75 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,078$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 67c | 1,008$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.13 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…e473backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…ae12backed Yes | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…683ebacked Yes | 4c | 999.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…c3ddbacked No | 50c | 993.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 60c | 980$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 72c | 894.7$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.88 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 894.68$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4f…6232backed Yes | 55c | 886.32$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.43 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…8b5ebacked No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…de2ebacked Yes | 2c | 848.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed No | 71c | 844.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Yes | 44c | 842.52$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…8d64backed Yes | 17c | 840$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…b8edbacked Yes | 61c | 839.99$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.79 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed No | 60c | 833.26$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.56 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…c877backed No | 64c | 785.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…de3dbacked Yes | 3c | 714.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 32c | 706.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.16 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…60f1backed No | 58c | 688.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…6052backed Yes | 59c | 610.09$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 55c | 607.76$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.35 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 65c | 607.1$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…4500backed No | 75c | 606.37$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 68c | 606.26$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.14 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 75c | 569$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…8b16backed No | 55c | 564$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 55c | 557.25$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541d…8f88backed No | 56c | 543.18$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 54c | 539.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…066fbacked No | 11c | 538.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.2 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…489fbacked Yes | 16c | 524.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8c20backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…a0bfbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d33…e1d9backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…484cbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…4464backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Yes | 46c | 494.74$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 3c | 482.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 29c | 464$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 47c | 462.17$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes | 13c | 457.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1542backed No | 43c | 451.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.71 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…ea6fbacked Yes | 24c | 450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c41…3ec8backed No | 54c | 440.54$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked No | 40c | 435.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…c5f2backed Yes | 56c | 433.87$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…57edbacked No | 54c | 424.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 50c | 414.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.87 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 24c | 410.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 57c | 406.06$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…5ba3backed No | 24c | 405.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…b369backed No | 33c | 367.88$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 56c | 358.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…22c0backed Yes | 59c | 354.18$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…54c8backed No | 76c | 350.55$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…4967backed No | 34c | 325.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…f776backed No | 70c | 323.96$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…8466backed No | 43c | 319.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 303.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 57c | 303.37$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 296.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed Yes | 62c | 293.58$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 57c | 290.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed No | 47c | 283$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…c399backed Yes | 52c | 275.94$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.