TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8936…d010

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
941
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category AI at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST60229.9%180 W · 422 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 602 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google reach $350 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$968.62
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$426.83
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$357.25
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$602.25
Will Amazon reach $248 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$17.4
Will Amazon dip to $192 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+188.8%+$681.52
Will Netflix dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$155.55
Will Palantir dip to $111 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$89.11
Will Palantir reach $180 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+34.6%+$25.13
Will Apple reach $284 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$194.87
Will Opendoor reach $7 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.72
Will Opendoor dip to $3.50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,185.66
Will Opendoor reach $6.50 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+50.7%+$70.96
Will Opendoor dip to $4.25 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$162.16
Will Opendoor reach $7.50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.15
Will Amazon dip to $176 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75.9
Will Amazon reach $256 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.1%+$28.03
Will Amazon reach $268 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+70.1%+$14.43
Will Meta dip to $570 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.61
Will Meta dip to $600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+34.9%+$18.08
Will Meta reach $730 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$244.31
Will Meta dip to $620 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,218.46
Will Meta reach $770 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.89
Will Tesla reach $465 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$194.47
Will Tesla reach $450 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$649.44
Showing 25 of 602 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7150.7%36 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.77
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$106.19
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$57.14
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$1,191.84
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.3
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+174.4%+$1,027.45
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$1,382.14
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43%+$189.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+412.7%+$377.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.67
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.64
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$62.01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$149.74
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$174.61
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,825Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+111.2%+$2,029.78
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.3%+$669.04
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+73.6%+$684.76
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.5%+$818.42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.8%+$197.08
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST4634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$146.29
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$127.83
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$48.79
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+136.4%+$91.94
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$110.97
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$123.53
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$89.75
Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$109.3
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$151.79
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+62.6%+$46.97
Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+91.6%+$70.9
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.9%+$18.18
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$167.15
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$147.79
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$146.5
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$112.66
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$250.51
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+103%+$216.78
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$111.94
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$94.65
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$136.48
Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$170.82
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$110.35
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT4235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.99
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$32.82
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.93
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 57-58°F on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35.12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 63-64°F on December 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$153.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+642.5%+$171.87
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+131.2%+$34.05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24.38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+27.7%+$40.58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$136.3
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+85.7%+$22.61
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.51
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+52.4%+$55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+83.2%+$27.59
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.03
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 57–58 °F on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+32.5%+$7.35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 59–60 °F on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+78.4%+$14.36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 61–62 °F on December 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2 °C on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$45.52
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.27
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$693.42
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+748.8%+$1,204.96
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+59.4%+$11.8
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+762.9%+$1,903.77
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33.31
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$600.62
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.8%+$10.99
Will PUSC win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.39
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+104.7%+$57.64
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21.99
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$263.72
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$282
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+525%+$420
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,414.23
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+299.4%+$1,264.36
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$101.39
Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Wednesday 12 PM ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Will José Antonio Kast win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Jeannette Jara win at least 32% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+32.4%+$17.2
Will Johannes Kaiser win between 16% and 19% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+51.7%+$13.2
Will Johannes Kaiser win between 13% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+244.8%+$28.4
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3225%8 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$27.5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.06
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+225%+$94.9
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.37
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.94
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.23
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45.28
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.39
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$84.8
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$74.09
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+316.7%+$152
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.26
Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$8.14
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+111.3%+$79
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+101.4%+$24.28
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$119.73
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$70.69
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST2853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Shankland vs Esipenko (Advances)backed Esipenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$22.2
FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Yi vs Erigaisi (Advances)backed Erigaisi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33.5
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Samuel Sevian vs Lorenzo Lodici (Advances)backed Sevian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Maxime Vachier-Lagrave vs Aleksey Grebnev (Advances)backed Grebnev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+334.8%+$38.5
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Yi Wei vs Parham Maghsoodloo (Advances)backed Maghsoodloo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.58
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Andrey Esipenko vs Vincent Keymer (Advances)backed Esipenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+37.5%+$19.1
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Yangyi Yu vs Javokhir Sindarov (Advances)backed Yu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Nils Grandelius vs Pentala Harikrishna (Advances)backed Harikrishna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+68%+$54.92
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Frederik Svane vs Sargsyan Shant (Advances)backed Shant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$149.35
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa vs Daniil Dubov (Advances)backed Dubov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+90.5%+$33.78
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Matthias Bluebaum vs Alexander Donchenko (Advances)backed Donchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+152.7%+$21.15
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Andrey Esipenko vs Pouya Idani (Advances)backed Idani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Levon Aronian vs Salem Saleh (Advances)backed Aronian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37.3%+$11.31
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Gabriel Sargissian vs Diptayan Ghosh (Advances)backed Ghosh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$42.86
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Maxime Vachier-Lagrave vs Vladislav Artemiev (Advances)backed Vachier-Lagrave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+30.6%+$16.4
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Bogdan-Daniel Deac vs Karthik Venkataraman (Advances)backed Venkataraman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+226.9%+$38.17
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Georg Meier vs Daniil Dubov (Advances)backed Dubov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.7%+$15.8
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Van Nguyen Thai Dai vs Nodirbek Yakubboev (Advances)backed Dai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$118.6
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Santosh Gujrathi Vidit vs Sam Shankland (Advances)backed Vidit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Yagiz Kaan Erdogmus vs Richard Rapport (Advances)backed Rapport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.61
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Awonder Liang vs Rasmus Svane (Advances)backed Liang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Nikolas Theodorou vs Javokhir Sindarov (Advances)backed Theodorou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Alexander Donchenko vs Anish Giri (Advances)backed Giri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$51.56
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Michael Adams vs Lorenzo Lodici (Advances)backed Adams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$39
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Radoslaw Wojtaszek vs Vladimir Fedoseev (Advances)backed Wojtaszek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$7.52
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+112.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$166.87
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$88.55
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+211.2%+$88.09
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+301.9%+$955.99
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.99
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+1,742%+$223.65
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+813.7%+$572.83
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$92.68
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+32.7%+$9.17
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.35
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.8
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$48.93
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.93
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.2%+$17.8
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+341.2%+$46.4
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+122.3%+$60.07
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$24.94
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,353.58
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,812.94
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$16.29
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+76%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.23
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+817.5%+$179.04
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$45.2
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+525%+$126
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$238.85
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+122.2%+$189.59
Will Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT+458.2%+$282.55
Will Trump tweet 0 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$220.59
Will Trump post 21-25 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.35
Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT+40.9%+$59.97
Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$986.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?backed 25 bps cut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36.2
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 40% on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.06
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 30% on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27.3
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 25% on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?backed No Change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on Friday?backed No Change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.15
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,093.44
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+180.5%+$1,229.78
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+210.6%+$696.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$14.92
Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.5
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 40% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 50% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 27–28%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+86.5%+$14.84
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 26–27%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1B and $1.2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25.09
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35.4
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$48.89
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.4B and $1.6B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.3
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+566.7%+$212.61
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Under 15% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$19.2
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$259.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalya 2: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump disparage Xi Jinping on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.