Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0c4e1990640ac0d2aac60f7711036191897bdeae1a1c90e5f922d0f83a34f94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed Yes | 10c | 17,465$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.16 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 16c | 15,563$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.41 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…c74dbacked Yes | 2c | 10,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -59%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 4,970$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.52 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…8d64backed Yes | 15c | 4,088$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.68 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…adf5backed Yes | 3c | 3,802$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 11c | 3,318$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.14 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…f459backed Yes | 21c | 3,023$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…068bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,701$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 8c | 2,441$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.67 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 2c | 2,148$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,066$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 15c | 1,750$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked No | 77c | 1,748$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.53 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 1,669$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…a7c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,580$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264b…cf7fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,363$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 80c | 1,293$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…61abbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +549.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 1,167$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…41f7backed Yes | 10c | 1,140$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 80c | 1,100$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 13c | 1,043$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.23 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 1,031$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9070…e32cbacked Yes | 2c | 987.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734c…1d86backed Yes | 3c | 938.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 28cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…ca9fbacked Yes | 25c | 923.65$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 11c | 923.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a3…81fabacked Yes | 2c | 832.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 703.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 7c | 687.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 4c | 670.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…8e7dbacked Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 14c | 599.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 2c | 588.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 19c | 567.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06e…c12cbacked Yes | 10c | 564.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed No | 78c | 502.58$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…cec3backed Yes | 35c | 500$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…a682backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b741backed Yes | 6c | 454.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 14c | 450$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 3c | 406.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 18c | 397.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 16c | 390.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 5c | 369.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…1566backed Yes | 16c | 343.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 320.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 6c | 302.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 12c | 270.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647c…bb4abacked No | 61c | 260$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…8956backed Yes | 20c | 253.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…a83ebacked No | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…2ba5backed No | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…c9c6backed Yes | 8c | 240.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…4baabacked No | 61c | 240$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…d2d7backed Yes | 17c | 218$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 18c | 213.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed Yes | 11c | 210.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…63a4backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Yes | 12c | 193.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…96cfbacked Yes | 13c | 180.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 18c | 175.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed Yes | 14c | 175.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 13c | 174.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked Yes | 12c | 174.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes | 11c | 170.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 13c | 168$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 15c | 164.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…19a6backed Yes | 6c | 162.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Yes | 12c | 150.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 148.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Yes | 9c | 139.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 19c | 124.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 22c | 123.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…43eabacked Yes | 20c | 101.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 78c | 100.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…0874backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…db75backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 21c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 21c | 73.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…463ebacked Yes | 16c | 65.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…b01ebacked No | 79c | 63.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 77c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 79c | 58.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 77c | 49.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…b0afbacked No | 50c | 34.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed No | 78c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.