TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b5c…c056backed Yes10c17,465$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.163951.3%20 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+51.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes16c15,563$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.4130238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f12…c74dbacked Yes2c10,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-59%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c4,970$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.521,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…8d64backed Yes15c4,088$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.682722.2%6 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes3c3,802$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes11c3,318$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.146320.6%13 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e4…f459backed Yes21c3,023$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-58.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e4…068bbacked Yes9c2,701$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842b…b366backed Yes8c2,441$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.677930.4%24 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes2c2,148$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c2,066$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.372221.4%3 W · 219 L-0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes15c1,750$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.53737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe222…b4cbbacked No77c1,748$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.534332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c1,669$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2320624.8%51 W · 155 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f4…a7c9backed Yes3c1,580$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.682352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x264b…cf7fbacked Yes8c1,363$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No80c1,293$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.292766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f50…61abbacked Yes2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+549.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes8c1,167$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.531035.8%6 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2e…41f7backed Yes10c1,140$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.32010%2 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5f…634dbacked No80c1,100$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.53842.1%16 W · 22 L-7.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-37.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes13c1,043$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2321228.8%61 W · 151 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes15c1,031$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7226413.3%35 W · 229 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x625f…e2c0backed Yes4c1,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.995915.3%9 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9070…e32cbacked Yes2c987.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734c…1d86backed Yes3c938.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301464.3%9 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.36per pick28cpaid+131.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6b56…ca9fbacked Yes25c923.65$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes11c923.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a3…81fabacked Yes2c832.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes8c703.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.423846.6%111 W · 127 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yes7c687.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.861884.3%8 W · 180 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed Yes4c670.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.524634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb792…8e7dbacked Yes17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes14c599.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes2c588.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.691246.5%8 W · 116 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes19c567.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3635334%120 W · 233 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06e…c12cbacked Yes10c564.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda6…3f07backed No78c502.58$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.583941%16 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb3…cec3backed Yes35c500$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…a682backed Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7438…b741backed Yes6c454.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.25714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes14c450$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657935.4%28 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes3c406.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1518540.5%75 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42f…78a0backed Yes18c397.01$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.012744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed Yes16c390.89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.777150.7%36 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes5c369.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57f…1566backed Yes16c343.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes8c320.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6821015.7%33 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes6c302.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes12c270.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x647c…bb4abacked No61c260$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ffe…8956backed Yes20c253.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9a…a83ebacked No65c250$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c4c…2ba5backed No65c250$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d9f…c9c6backed Yes8c240.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+142.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d2…4baabacked No61c240$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc903…d2d7backed Yes17c218$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.63633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes18c213.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.17908.9%8 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick9cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7832…ca08backed Yes11c210.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.441631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+80.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84a0…63a4backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441225%3 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32324.3%10 W · 222 L-0.7wins0.00per pick5cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc79f…e3febacked Yes12c193.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.932010%2 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-87.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8f2…96cfbacked Yes13c180.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.78933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes18c175.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.384643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x227d…1a26backed Yes14c175.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253129%9 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes13c174.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.444211.9%5 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe356…63bcbacked Yes12c174.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.181533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+83.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes11c170.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.532114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes13c168$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.073724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes15c164.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.025617.9%10 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa994…19a6backed Yes6c162.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.381233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x563a…f578backed Yes12c150.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.551711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-85%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fde…cbbebacked Yes15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c148.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6730718.6%57 W · 250 L-17.8wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16c0…38acbacked Yes9c139.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-92.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes19c124.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.181306.2%8 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes22c123.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.051,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10df…43eabacked Yes20c101.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked No78c100.1$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.121225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb528…0874backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.599745.4%44 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd898…aaf1backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+76.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d4d…db75backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Yes24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes21c98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.194035%14 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03d0…d647backed Yes14c75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.484143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes21c73.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ed…463ebacked Yes16c65.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.651526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd97…b01ebacked No79c63.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.211050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No77c62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0215446.8%72 W · 82 L+17.9wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+69.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No79c58.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.113666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed No77c49.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.242268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed No77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.121330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-57.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No76c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.165131.4%16 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa218…b0afbacked No50c34.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39bd…1027backed No78c25.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.