TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d4e…6e96backed No1c10,938$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4343…3be2backed No5c7,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+182.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf25…3b7fbacked No62c3,192$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.9880%0 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf85f…9800backed No14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed Yes38c2,193$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.12657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes45c1,609$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.1832023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bd…25b3backed Yes38c1,054$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe955…3b03backed No18c1,036$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick24cpaid+181.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x842b…b366backed No14c1,014$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.17930.4%24 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No5c940$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711615.5%18 W · 98 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa05b…b63cbacked No18c870.34$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No49c733.37$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.351050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes75c626.98$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.554233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No13c552.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.356320.6%13 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed Yes47c518.9$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.777150.7%36 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9a6…409cbacked No64c499.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes62c457.68$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0830839.6%122 W · 186 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes79c441.73$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.675223.1%12 W · 40 L-10.1wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-55%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No18c405.89$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No65c364.22$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3735334%120 W · 233 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes37c348.61$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…2e61backed No24c310.88$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e66…8ca1backed Yes38c299.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b22…68e3backed Yes39c277.29$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.292437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No66c272.26$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8230238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…1c97backed Yes37c269.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Yes42c236.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.45933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes62c232.72$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.867131%22 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-46.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xec85…8ba8backed Yes61c227.53$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.663354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75aa…27bbbacked Yes54c223.23$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No34c206.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.431,05134.7%365 W · 686 L-93.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7124…70c1backed No39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.462343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c6…b50bbacked No14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked No11c192.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.173724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddae…7d66backed Yes77c182$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No14c180.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0826413.3%35 W · 229 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked Yes77c180$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.854856.3%27 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No16c179.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.213858%80 W · 58 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No15c175.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.811,0329.3%96 W · 936 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No60c175$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0066…394fbacked No16c171.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ce…3881backed No62c170$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes52c167.3$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.047935.4%28 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed No23c166.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…816ebacked Yes65c133$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.32825%7 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x090f…312fbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick42cpaid+145.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No61c128.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.665952.5%31 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+65.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ed8…4057backed Yes78c122.3$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1b…349cbacked Yes37c120$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed No14c108.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.047439.2%29 W · 45 L+12.3wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+131.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa446…754ebacked Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.113225%8 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd72…6cc4backed No14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b2…8abdbacked No15c92.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.02825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-64.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked No13c86.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.235728.1%16 W · 41 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x919d…f748backed No18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510551.4%54 W · 51 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5a2…c2c2backed No62c80.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae6…7485backed Yes37c79.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63b8…cf6cbacked Yes73c72.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes55c65.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.192850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes33c62.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.662920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85cf…8a29backed No20c54.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec55…d420backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick23cpaid+72.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…c0bbbacked No36c51.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa57a…8470backed Yes37c51.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6142…367bbacked Yes38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311540%6 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec32…2c16backed Yes34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5874…05f7backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf8f2…96cfbacked Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25b9…3058backed Yes34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick17cpaid+88.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba57…cdc4backed Yes75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20a…d9a3backed Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No60c44.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.771353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5903…4f6dbacked Yes75c38.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed No62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x303a…1b11backed Yes80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fa…d9bdbacked Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de9…0d27backed Yes65c23.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec4…1f12backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb9…35b0backed Yes60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad13…82ebbacked Yes58c17.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc09…c57fbacked Yes60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c58…70cabacked Yes68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.