TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7b8…2c1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 56 out of 100; worst IPO at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT9530.5%29 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,826.04
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.69
Will the S&P 500 hit 7,000 by January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$120.14
Will the S&P 500 hit 7,000 by January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$881.07
Will the S&P 500 hit 7,000 by January 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$119.51
Will Microsoft dip to $465 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
Will Palantir dip to $162 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.6
Will Palantir reach $201 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$518.39
Will Amazon reach $240 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.1%+$60.18
Will Meta reach $690 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.34
Will Google dip to $290 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.43
Will Google reach $330 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$269.88
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137
Will Tesla dip to $405 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Tesla reach $503 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$807.72
Will Apple dip to $264 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+110.1%+$20.96
Will Apple (AAPL) hit $265 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146
Will Nvidia (NVDA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of December 22 above $189?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+287.9%+$186.5
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of December 22 above $188?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$49.31
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of December 22 above $187?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$61.8
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of December 22 above $192?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+138.9%+$32.9
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of December 22 above $186?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35.52
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 22 above $500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+42.7%+$37.19
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST6642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethena reach $0.16 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+71.5%+$230.25
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,906.44
Will BNB reach $900 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.07
Will BNB reach $800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$156.8
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.88
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,513.36
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$468.75
Will BNB dip to $600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$995.15
Will Chainlink dip to $8 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,064.88
Will Ethena dip to $0.12 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.79
Will BNB dip to $700 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,513.33
Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,945Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+184.6%+$5,436.5
Will Hyperliquid hit $26 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$114.16
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$88.39
BNB all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+84.5%+$2,820.39
Will BNB reach $950 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.8%+$438
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,666Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+110.4%+$5,148.62
Will BNB dip to $800 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,198.32
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,024.5
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,524Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.3%+$2,653.66
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,748Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.2%+$1,241.87
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,938Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.4%+$2,593
Will BNB reach $1,050 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$187.81
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$759.78
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+113.9%+$42.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30.56
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$12
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.1%+$39.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$25.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.1
Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$25.26
Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+44%+$43.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid Up or Down on February 20?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$68.27
Hyperliquid Up or Down on February 19?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+30.8%+$7
Hyperliquid all time high before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,457Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+101.8%+$2,501.94
Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?backed Bitcoin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$14.76
Hyperliquid Up or Down on June 26?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+95.2%+$128.4
Hyperliquid Up or Down on May 23?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$43.94
Hyperliquid Up or Down on May 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$20.84
Hyperliquid Up or Down on May 21?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.06
Hyperliquid Up or Down on May 17?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.6
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$98.09
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-60.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.48
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,978Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$563.78
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$815.16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$832.04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,366.01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+128%+$1,788.1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,780.26
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$157.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$214.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.