Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43ad4037543d8376fe6bc828997820cc197ceb86d8c8f51b33b95c6676078cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked No | 40c | 9,771$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.66 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 41c | 9,219$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.47 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 42c | 5,692$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.06 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…1d17backed No | 62c | 4,733$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 29c | 4,270$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.79 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 60c | 4,264$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.24 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 8c | 3,870$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.38 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 66c | 3,363$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.39 | 292 | 36.3%106 W · 186 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…0591backed Yes | 17c | 3,279$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 28c | 2,949$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.16 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed Yes | 52c | 2,534$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.66 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 79c | 2,500$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Yes | 57c | 2,499$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 41c | 2,400$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 2c | 2,014$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 32c | 2,005$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.71 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 65c | 1,958$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.28 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…07f3backed No | 54c | 1,850$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,850$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.53 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,815$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.55 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…1f1cbacked No | 70c | 1,724$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 59c | 1,652$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.99 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked No | 22c | 1,626$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 39c | 1,599$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.77 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 73c | 1,490$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 53c | 1,454$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 48c | 1,349$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 31c | 1,240$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 57c | 1,202$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 1,200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 61c | 1,190$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.18 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 1c | 1,183$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 64c | 1,129$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.01 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 34c | 999.84$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.58 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…81cebacked Yes | 51c | 985.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 33c | 964.8$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.86 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…4967backed No | 49c | 964.66$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked No | 55c | 949.35$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 60c | 943.49$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.57 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 77c | 939.13$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.13 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…f290backed No | 66c | 900$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 34c | 900$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 33c | 881$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.67 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 35c | 840.36$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.28 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 30c | 839.6$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.99 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d5c3backed Yes | 16c | 814.59$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…1399backed No | 24c | 786.86$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 60c | 756$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…252cbacked Yes | 66c | 754.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 39c | 731.42$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.89 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…29dbbacked Yes | 44c | 708.61$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.45 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…21aabacked Yes | 30c | 700$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +209.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd27e…b0b5backed No | 29c | 693.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 55c | 665.87$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.87 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfecf…abd4backed Yes | 50c | 640.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…a2e8backed Yes | 60c | 628.26$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 608.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 42c | 599.14$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.64 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x048e…7e9cbacked No | 34c | 593.62$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…d78bbacked No | 48c | 558.53$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…d896backed No | 18c | 547.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…9a61backed Yes | 34c | 536.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked No | 38c | 536.39$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Yes | 49c | 528.79$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 57c | 527.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 66c | 524.99$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…1798backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…bae4backed Yes | 23c | 482.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 11cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 31c | 457.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 30c | 429.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.6 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed No | 54c | 420.09$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e8…7b51backed No | 4c | 416$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…68e3backed No | 44c | 410.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked No | 34c | 403$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Yes | 53c | 402.7$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 47c | 392.51$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…5060backed No | 25c | 390$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a40…53b4backed No | 24c | 390$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…0c23backed Yes | 76c | 390$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…e2acbacked Yes | 75c | 390$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…7ddcbacked No | 69c | 381.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…b8edbacked Yes | 37c | 380$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 51c | 372.96$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…e614backed Yes | 20c | 365.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +254.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…0e5bbacked No | 33c | 364.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 51c | 360.49$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.47 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 50c | 358.12$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 53c | 353.9$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.23 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 57c | 343.68$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.53 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 332.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7b…4ff4backed No | 45c | 329.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 14c | 329.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fb58backed No | 38c | 320.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 65c | 318.79$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 184 | 40.2%74 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 313.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…9715backed Yes | 23c | 304.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…29ddbacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…45fdbacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 60cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.