Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35241fd758ba0da8bc3d7df2706aaf87d8420c5004ae3c4ceaa07b432f955850
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $603,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes | 17c | 16,965$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…9e32backed Yes | 3c | 15,682$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343b…fda0backed Yes | 12c | 14,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed Yes | 6c | 13,858$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.94 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes | 11c | 13,499$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.53 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes | 9c | 12,612$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 8,200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 11c | 7,937$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.35 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 10c | 7,354$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 15c | 6,360$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.29 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c57…d17fbacked Yes | 18c | 4,698$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 8c | 4,476$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.26 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…dbcabacked No | 75c | 4,300$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 4,053$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,433$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…aa7fbacked Yes | 24c | 3,258$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…82c5backed Yes | 2c | 3,162$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 26c | 3,080$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.9 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…fe91backed Yes | 20c | 3,010$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…0d0cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e051backed Yes | 7c | 2,995$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…f5dbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,962$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 5c | 2,667$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 11c | 2,613$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.8 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…03f3backed Yes | 11c | 2,599$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 2,475$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 2,328$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.58 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 8c | 2,149$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c25…d933backed Yes | 14c | 2,132$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes | 14c | 2,039$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…816ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,010$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80e8…9010backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6420…fcccbacked Yes | 20c | 1,984$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Yes | 2c | 1,964$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,961$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…8c32backed Yes | 18c | 1,916$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…9d49backed Yes | 2c | 1,885$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 6c | 1,837$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…7a9fbacked No | 78c | 1,817$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…c44bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,813$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…25b3backed Yes | 11c | 1,783$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…0603backed Yes | 5c | 1,766$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…6f81backed Yes | 7c | 1,750$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…2411backed Yes | 23c | 1,722$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…8c9bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,642$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…9a56backed Yes | 15c | 1,630$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 27cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…900dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,606$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d85…a385backed Yes | 25c | 1,594$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 76c | 1,554$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…41febacked Yes | 21c | 1,552$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…7722backed Yes | 25c | 1,517$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,507$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4e…36e4backed Yes | 26c | 1,312$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…f166backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc413…1654backed Yes | 8c | 1,295$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 20c | 1,238$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.27 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…8642backed Yes | 26c | 1,202$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…4001backed Yes | 16c | 1,201$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 20c | 1,152$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Yes | 8c | 1,150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 16c | 1,078$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 7c | 1,070$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…35c1backed Yes | 20c | 1,064$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…886ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,030$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…5dbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,006$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…b806backed Yes | 2c | 1,005$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…203bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,005$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…b261backed Yes | 2c | 1,005$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…b1b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,003$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7675…5ae2backed Yes | 2c | 1,003$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…f43cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa611…3a6ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…58fbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +13.8wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…41f7backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…baf4backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 990.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…0023backed Yes | 16c | 987.53$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…d231backed Yes | 2c | 980$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 6c | 979.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…bfd2backed Yes | 2c | 970$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…468cbacked Yes | 2c | 970$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…deefbacked Yes | 2c | 940$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked No | 78c | 930$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…8956backed Yes | 19c | 917.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 913.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…6cb7backed Yes | 2c | 910$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…2231backed Yes | 2c | 910$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…4b0bbacked Yes | 5c | 869$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…89bebacked Yes | 5c | 869$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…f265backed Yes | 12c | 815.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd73…1948backed Yes | 5c | 813.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a56…3e36backed Yes | 19c | 802.63$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…bc9cbacked No | 79c | 800$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +276.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x402b…26d1backed Yes | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…69aabacked Yes | 2c | 765.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 3c | 727.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…3b83backed Yes | 5c | 700$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d74…7a3ebacked Yes | 5c | 700$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.