TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$603,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$598,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes17c16,965$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,808.311216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15af…9e32backed Yes3c15,682$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.1460%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x343b…fda0backed Yes12c14,000$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6601225%3 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefb…bd88backed Yes6c13,858$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.941513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes11c13,499$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.53137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-74.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes9c12,612$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198170%0 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes1c8,200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5590%0 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes11c7,937$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.35580%0 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes10c7,354$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74232023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes15c6,360$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.296320.6%13 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c57…d17fbacked Yes18c4,698$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.0890%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf969…7ce8backed Yes8c4,476$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.264425%11 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…dbcabacked No75c4,300$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.984100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes2c4,053$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.532934.1%12 W · 281 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c3,433$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.272221.4%3 W · 219 L-0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2709…aa7fbacked Yes24c3,258$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…82c5backed Yes2c3,162$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1490%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes26c3,080$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.9240%0 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7b71…fe91backed Yes20c3,010$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8af2…0d0cbacked Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf903…e051backed Yes7c2,995$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-83.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3a…f5dbbacked Yes2c2,962$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.12020%4 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes5c2,667$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-74.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb84…5685backed Yes11c2,613$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.82015%3 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2760…03f3backed Yes11c2,599$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.14540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes7c2,475$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.122324.3%10 W · 222 L-0.7wins0.00per pick5cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes7c2,328$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.581035.8%6 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Yes8c2,149$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.951118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c25…d933backed Yes14c2,132$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes14c2,039$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.122025%5 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…816ebacked Yes7c2,010$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.352825%7 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x80e8…9010backed Yes11c2,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210100%0 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked No77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4604447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6420…fcccbacked Yes20c1,984$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Yes2c1,964$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.361145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13b6…c633backed Yes1c1,961$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.57752.7%2 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…8c32backed Yes18c1,916$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13af…9d49backed Yes2c1,885$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yes6c1,837$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.661884.3%8 W · 180 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d5…7a9fbacked No78c1,817$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+101.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad96…c44bbacked Yes6c1,813$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100110%0 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bd…25b3backed Yes11c1,783$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…0603backed Yes5c1,766$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bba…6f81backed Yes7c1,750$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.46270%0 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3389…2411backed Yes23c1,722$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x000d…8c9bbacked Yes2c1,642$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8280%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe863…9a56backed Yes15c1,630$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick27cpaid+164.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xef20…900dbacked Yes7c1,606$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d85…a385backed Yes25c1,594$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.140%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No76c1,554$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.992119%4 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5358…41febacked Yes21c1,552$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.98520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4c…7722backed Yes25c1,517$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,507$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.261,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4e…36e4backed Yes26c1,312$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c79…f166backed Yes4c1,300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc413…1654backed Yes8c1,295$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes20c1,238$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.274233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf90d…8642backed Yes26c1,202$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e8…4001backed Yes16c1,201$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac13…6506backed Yes20c1,152$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.063815.8%6 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-54.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb8d8…66a7backed Yes8c1,150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes16c1,078$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1733735.1%13 W · 24 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-39.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x90d1…f62abacked Yes7c1,070$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.45310%0 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…35c1backed Yes20c1,064$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4b…886ebacked Yes2c1,030$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…5dbebacked Yes6c1,006$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6290%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e9…b806backed Yes2c1,005$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe97c…203bbacked Yes2c1,005$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b1…b261backed Yes2c1,005$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfef3…b1b2backed Yes2c1,003$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7675…5ae2backed Yes2c1,003$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0640…f43cbacked Yes5c1,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa611…3a6ebacked Yes5c1,000$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedba…58fbbacked Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed Yes4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405747.4%27 W · 30 L+13.8wins+0.24per pick23cpaid+54.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xed2e…41f7backed Yes5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502010%2 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…baf4backed Yes3c999.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes5c990.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61212.5%3 W · 118 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9196…0023backed Yes16c987.53$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-75.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67c9…d231backed Yes2c980$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes6c979.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.335635.7%20 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-10.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe1…bfd2backed Yes2c970$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8baa…468cbacked Yes2c970$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…deefbacked Yes2c940$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7b…e9ebbacked No78c930$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.61637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+111.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ffe…8956backed Yes19c917.5$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes2c913.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.35692.9%2 W · 67 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6938…6cb7backed Yes2c910$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc578…2231backed Yes2c910$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…4b0bbacked Yes5c869$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…89bebacked Yes5c869$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4566…f265backed Yes12c815.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-44.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd73…1948backed Yes5c813.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a56…3e36backed Yes19c802.63$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1650%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b97…bc9cbacked No79c800$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick38cpaid+276.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x402b…26d1backed Yes9c777.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd4…69aabacked Yes2c765.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0870%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes3c727.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.93120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x588e…3b83backed Yes5c700$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d74…7a3ebacked Yes5c700$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.