Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf29ba3bae0662b6f977f4918ad07ce6ea1c9d49bbc63a9145a2973cc829d245e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 66c | 10,139$6,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.22 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…a2e8backed No | 73c | 9,175$6,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 7,726$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.95 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 4c | 7,620$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.06 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 26c | 6,021$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.91 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed Yes | 20c | 5,794$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.31 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 25c | 3,056$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.48 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…f459backed Yes | 36c | 3,007$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 66c | 2,699$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.36 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 21c | 2,135$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.36 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 19c | 2,094$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked No | 64c | 2,008$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.83 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…d78bbacked No | 74c | 1,663$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…2150backed Yes | 11c | 1,654$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.92 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…8af4backed Yes | 28c | 1,532$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…1e9dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,510$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 1,408$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.96 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 1,301$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 41c | 1,250$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 73c | 1,195$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.29 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Yes | 6c | 1,106$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 32c | 1,071$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 2c | 1,044$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 63c | 1,017$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.2 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 14c | 957.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…61abbacked Yes | 6c | 837.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +549.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 67c | 770$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 33c | 699.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 45c | 680.61$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.21 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264b…cf7fbacked Yes | 23c | 666.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…8d64backed Yes | 20c | 626.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed Yes | 12c | 608.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 76c | 600$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 6c | 591.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…0265backed Yes | 3c | 588.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 22c | 580.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 7c | 558.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 75c | 546.86$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 23c | 539.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 538.88$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.22 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 538.87$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 61c | 533.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 4c | 478.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…5462backed No | 67c | 451.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 74c | 420.64$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 396.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 355.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 4c | 354.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734c…1d86backed Yes | 11c | 352.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 28cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 24c | 325$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 75c | 320.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 16c | 315$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 10c | 303.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…27eabacked Yes | 5c | 277.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…c74dbacked Yes | 16c | 277.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -59%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 9c | 263.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 31c | 257.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…516bbacked Yes | 40c | 251.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…b5d1backed Yes | 18c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 69c | 243.96$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 42c | 235.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 58c | 214.54$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 36c | 211$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…8e7dbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…0e0cbacked Yes | 14c | 190.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…ff06backed Yes | 11c | 182.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…2892backed Yes | 28c | 180.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…256cbacked Yes | 29c | 170.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…e01cbacked Yes | 15c | 169.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…1430backed No | 73c | 164.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed No | 74c | 161.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…cdf3backed Yes | 28c | 160.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…ed4abacked Yes | 49c | 160.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…fa50backed Yes | 26c | 159.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 28c | 153.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…6dd2backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…b3b7backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 71c | 147.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 19c | 143.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 16c | 142.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 11c | 132.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…828abacked No | 75c | 132.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 59cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 69c | 130$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 25c | 129.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 23c | 129.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed Yes | 21c | 125.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 125.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…72d5backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 28c | 119.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 30c | 119.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed No | 73c | 117.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4a…d544backed No | 68c | 114.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…bcbcbacked No | 77c | 106.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.