TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0bbd…1518backed No2c18,923$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes80c17,679$14,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.974233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf25…3b7fbacked No51c13,140$6,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,700.5180%0 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No1c7,609$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.291,0329.3%96 W · 936 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…e17cbacked No2c5,899$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed No0c4,429$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.93290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b3…28a1backed Yes23c4,283$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,296.2425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b01…95a9backed No0c3,417$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a98…e1e2backed No1c3,000$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441241.7%5 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick10cpaid+485.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No3c2,426$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0912011.7%14 W · 106 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+178.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No17c2,157$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.576320.6%13 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x777c…f742backed No3c1,767$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes50c1,478$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.1732023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes68c1,380$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.363735.1%13 W · 24 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-39.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0066…394fbacked No28c1,289$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.57944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes25c1,126$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.397131%22 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-46.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa13f…e27ebacked No1c966.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No61c954.1$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58430238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf107…b9babacked No5c750.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.16333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842b…b366backed No3c661.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.417930.4%24 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f3…1248backed No12c653.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed Yes42c639.52$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.787150.7%36 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc262…8982backed No2c600$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b22…68e3backed Yes59c553.36$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.462437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No3c495.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.062324.3%10 W · 222 L-0.7wins0.00per pick5cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16a1…a8cfbacked Yes62c441.78$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.361030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75aa…27bbbacked Yes49c426.28$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8163…c1aebacked Yes25c416$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97c2…55d6backed Yes67c410$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.333781.1%30 W · 7 L+9.0wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+62%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed No3c397.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.597439.2%29 W · 45 L+12.3wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+131.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes26c381.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.76560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick24cpaid+215%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No11c361.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5516050.6%81 W · 79 L+13.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb84…5685backed Yes63c315.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.872015%3 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes54c306$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.763969.2%27 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23a8…8004backed Yes33c284.27$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.281369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+64.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4a0…590dbacked Yes62c236.03$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabaa…6da9backed Yes60c226.92$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No8c218.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4926413.3%35 W · 229 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd898…aaf1backed Yes44c213.15$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.732429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0cf…20d4backed Yes68c212$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908e…778dbacked Yes25c201$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes71c200.68$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2723846.6%111 W · 127 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.67935.4%28 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…816ebacked Yes72c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572825%7 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4566…f265backed Yes53c187.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.133414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-44.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a55…f82cbacked No11c185.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d6…8d7abacked No12c172.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked No36c160$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.83164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No45c146.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3635334%120 W · 233 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c6…b50bbacked No15c142.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.353748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec85…8ba8backed Yes56c139.69$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.133354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcde7…18d4backed Yes70c114.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes39c110$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.29745.4%44 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No69c103$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.572356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9a…a41fbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-60.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd72…6cc4backed No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774818.8%9 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7491…ada0backed No40c99.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.873873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+51.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x85cf…8a29backed No39c94.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked No13c90.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.775728.1%16 W · 41 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e66…8ca1backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked Yes70c80.51$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.154856.3%27 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ad…c577backed Yes23c77.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No42c75.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3413858%80 W · 58 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67ce…3881backed No77c69.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…ac37backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed Yes56c61.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3adc…9e42backed Yes22c57.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.83728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+160.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33e5…1c91backed Yes77c53.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82e…b971backed Yes23c52.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.174100%4 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+571.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked No75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.55952.5%31 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+65.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed No33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5180%0 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ea0…96febacked Yes57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+46.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5874…05f7backed No65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.54339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf8f2…96cfbacked Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25b9…3058backed Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick17cpaid+88.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa93f…ef7dbacked Yes57c47.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No51c47.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.962850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No75c45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.915223.1%12 W · 40 L-10.1wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-55%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215446.8%72 W · 82 L+17.9wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+69.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf7e6…f87cbacked Yes56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b57…37aabacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No69c37.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6811139.6%44 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc0…47e5backed No57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee6a…9f05backed Yes65c34.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes59c33.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.831984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+44%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb43…af0bbacked Yes63c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes66c31.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac13…6506backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773815.8%6 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-54.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked No54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+87.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…fa4dbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+107.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No40c28.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.661353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fc…33e2backed Yes60c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c88…187bbacked Yes64c22.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-59.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53de…5826backed Yes64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed No75c15.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.