Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316af0f7262e114901940c132e97cf8055577de4da2c26525798f43536ec2236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bbd…1518backed No | 2c | 18,923$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 80c | 17,679$14,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.97 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked No | 51c | 13,140$6,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700.51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 7,609$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…e17cbacked No | 2c | 5,899$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 0c | 4,429$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed Yes | 23c | 4,283$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed No | 0c | 3,417$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a98…e1e2backed No | 1c | 3,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 10cpaid | +485.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 3c | 2,426$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 17c | 2,157$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.57 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777c…f742backed No | 3c | 1,767$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 50c | 1,478$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.17 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 68c | 1,380$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.36 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 28c | 1,289$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,126$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.39 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa13f…e27ebacked No | 1c | 966.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 61c | 954.1$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked No | 5c | 750.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 3c | 661.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f3…1248backed No | 12c | 653.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 42c | 639.52$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.78 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…8982backed No | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…68e3backed Yes | 59c | 553.36$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.46 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 495.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…a8cfbacked Yes | 62c | 441.78$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…27bbbacked Yes | 49c | 426.28$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…c1aebacked Yes | 25c | 416$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 67c | 410$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.33 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 3c | 397.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 26c | 381.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +215%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 11c | 361.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 63c | 315.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes | 54c | 306$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed Yes | 33c | 284.27$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a0…590dbacked Yes | 62c | 236.03$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…6da9backed Yes | 60c | 226.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 218.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 44c | 213.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.73 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…20d4backed Yes | 68c | 212$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…778dbacked Yes | 25c | 201$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 71c | 200.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…816ebacked Yes | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…f265backed Yes | 53c | 187.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a55…f82cbacked No | 11c | 185.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d6…8d7abacked No | 12c | 172.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 36c | 160$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 45c | 146.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 15c | 142.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 56c | 139.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde7…18d4backed Yes | 70c | 114.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 69c | 103$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…a41fbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 40c | 99.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…8a29backed No | 39c | 94.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 13c | 90.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…8ca1backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked Yes | 70c | 80.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…c577backed Yes | 23c | 77.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 42c | 75.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…3881backed No | 77c | 69.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…ac37backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 56c | 61.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…9e42backed Yes | 22c | 57.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed Yes | 77c | 53.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +571.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…96febacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…96cfbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa93f…ef7dbacked Yes | 57c | 47.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 51c | 47.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…f87cbacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…37aabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 69c | 37.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…47e5backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6a…9f05backed Yes | 65c | 34.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 59c | 33.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…af0bbacked Yes | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes | 66c | 31.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…fa4dbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 40c | 28.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…187bbacked Yes | 64c | 22.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…5826backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 75c | 15.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.