TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4b01…95a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT205%1 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.7
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.11
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.92
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.07
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.83
Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$84.39
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$88.01
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$74.49
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT190%0 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.95
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.57
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.47
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.71
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT180%0 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.36
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will André Ventura win the second round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.37
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.12
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.02
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.13
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-88.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.88
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.07
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.87
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$86.67
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.33
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Will the US strike another country first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.07
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.57
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.58
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.27
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.31
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.61
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-84.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Solana dip to $30 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Solana dip to $20 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
Will XRP reach $3.40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.4%+$63.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 8-11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.19
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.01
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.97
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-80.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-49.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.