Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4323239ca9369eab312c0501060af59b6a58545932a0cfcd97a7c78168ee6031

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,364,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,406,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,364,770 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 510 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2048…f572backed Yes	25c	99,490$25,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,334.48	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee2…bea6backed No	66c	25,602$17,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,585.37	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No	76c	24,670$18,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,022.56	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de0…87a0backed Yes	21c	21,795$4,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,481.24	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb45…952dbacked Yes	19c	21,313$4,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,088.97	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-54%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes	4c	20,520$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.72	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf67f…31cfbacked No	49c	20,207$9,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,257.09	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce02…73aabacked Yes	2c	20,000$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8a…e4cdbacked Yes	65c	17,459$11,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,385.28	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes	28c	16,579$4,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,596.89	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Yes	16c	15,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb90…883cbacked Yes	6c	15,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Yes	38c	14,850$5,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,641.36	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cde…8833backed Yes	5c	14,356$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.76	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes	6c	13,920$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.01	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	80c	13,825$11,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,014.57	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf1…ee87backed Yes	2c	13,797$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.41	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783e…d7c8backed Yes	42c	13,390$5,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,661.56	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb8…82e6backed Yes	29c	13,027$3,822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,821.9	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	+94.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes	1c	12,100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x220d…30cabacked No	75c	10,667$7,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,671.08	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4248…005dbacked Yes	52c	9,564$4,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,997.14	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db7…e0d8backed Yes	19c	8,634$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680.05	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f61…e259backed Yes	27c	8,578$2,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,333.53	50	28%14 W · 36 L	-5.3wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21b6…83d8backed Yes	2c	8,513$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.17	80	17.5%14 W · 66 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa84f…bc44backed Yes	16c	8,380$1,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378.56	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b6…1047backed Yes	1c	7,760$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes	15c	7,338$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,066.12	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc722…1334backed Yes	16c	6,848$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.8	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed No	50c	6,679$3,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,369.02	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x861f…6b8fbacked No	76c	6,546$4,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,553.81	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Yes	30c	6,341$1,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,923	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-4.4wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-58%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5858…fbbfbacked No	77c	5,872$4,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,372.37	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7391…04b6backed No	56c	5,856$3,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550.39	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7316…4686backed Yes	13c	5,777$741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa88c…254fbacked Yes	3c	5,700$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.34	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	21c	5,663$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.2	72	8.3%6 W · 66 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed No	80c	5,637$4,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,149.74	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf255…11a0backed Yes	8c	5,544$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.24	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-4.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4745…f586backed Yes	15c	5,170$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x207b…b986backed Yes	10c	5,141$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.75	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d9…60f1backed No	70c	5,131$3,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,540.51	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+3.9wins	+0.33per pick	51cpaid	+86.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1681…b1c7backed No	20c	5,009$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,007.94	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc6de…ea39backed No	49c	4,771$2,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,425.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	20cpaid	+316.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd2b…a7f5backed Yes	22c	4,694$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.18	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Yes	5c	4,616$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.34	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes	19c	4,500$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xace9…c41fbacked No	80c	4,457$3,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$897.62	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+73.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf674…f4c8backed Yes	36c	4,337$1,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,553.16	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed No	17c	4,250$722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,527.91	134	22.4%30 W · 104 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+175.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Yes	3c	4,213$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.05	10	10%1 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No	52c	4,174$2,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,988.67	104	62.5%65 W · 39 L	+13.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	4,155$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.71	61	16.4%10 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+95.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c17…d5a1backed Yes	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,079.99	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+71.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb70…41c2backed Yes	4c	3,836$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.89	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba94…d855backed Yes	5c	3,715$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.53	25	36%9 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80b9…cedcbacked Yes	38c	3,632$1,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.78	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	3,567$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.25	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2616…8d3cbacked No	64c	3,530$2,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.67	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc60…af79backed No	75c	3,500$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3774…886ebacked No	46c	3,481$1,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,867.69	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.26per pick	52cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09f0…1e82backed Yes	0c	3,417$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No	24c	3,280$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,496.9	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+10.3wins	+0.22per pick	42cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes	10c	3,200$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	75	14.7%11 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8456…01abbacked Yes	12c	3,200$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x033c…f9b6backed Yes	12c	3,184$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.23	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes	58c	3,177$1,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,829.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+156%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes	2c	3,125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3c…c600backed No	26c	3,023$794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,228.08	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32c6…0bafbacked No	17c	3,005$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,505.27	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	49cpaid	+74.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f85…e93cbacked Yes	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-43%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes	52c	3,000$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	11c	2,900$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	2c	2,890$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.14	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes	20c	2,772$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568	147	32%47 W · 100 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	+44%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f9b…47eabacked No	53c	2,715$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,265.07	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+7.7wins	+0.29per pick	36cpaid	+117%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x02fc…0853backed No	74c	2,691$1,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.11	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.26per pick	58cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71ca…6ed5backed No	72c	2,681$1,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.83	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+91.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8c…2a49backed No	18c	2,650$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,165.25	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa13d…fcc8backed Yes	2c	2,625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	15cpaid	+73%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes	14c	2,623$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.11	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	2c	2,583$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.82	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea07…d8b7backed Yes	2c	2,550$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.8	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6d…b3febacked Yes	5c	2,500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc741…5252backed Yes	11c	2,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8163…1ce8backed Yes	1c	2,491$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.12	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f1…ef69backed Yes	22c	2,433$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Yes	35c	2,380$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.53	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x186d…01e0backed No	38c	2,372$911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,461.39	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd511…241cbacked Yes	1c	2,336$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…6474backed Yes	18c	2,315$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.62	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes	65c	2,250$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,461.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8616…c877backed Yes	45c	2,200$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.99	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe26f…1545backed Yes	1c	2,171$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.58	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-56%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd973…643fbacked Yes	8c	2,170$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.09	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x124e…ab7cbacked Yes	17c	2,100$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Yes	34c	2,088$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-53%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed No	29c	2,045$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,455.65	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?this page
Over 10,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes won
Over 15,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes won
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
Over 40,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
Over 50,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
Over 7000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event