TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a6d…b3fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST434.7%2 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,150%+$1,380
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$63.78
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.5
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$98.21
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$202.03
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$81.53
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$85.9
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$41.83
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$110.07
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$53.58
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$84.78
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.24
Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$78.5
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$136.1
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.66
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.27
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.63
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.96
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.09
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-82%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.56
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90.19
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$164
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$288.05
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+80%+$80
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$239.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.03
Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$59
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$70.75
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
CA Tigre vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
CA Tigre vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$99.96
CA Barracas Central vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$73.8
CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+248.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.32
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$913.75
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
International T20 Series: Pakistan vs Australia (Game 3)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$251.17
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs Paarl Royals (Game Eliminator)backed Paarl Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$31.07
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.36
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$151
Will New Zealand win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+2,490.5%+$996.21
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+189.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick16cpaid+271.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.42
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$297.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$122.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$299.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$451.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.