South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937201a78bed5fc01f1aaf44ec2139ffe379cca3297fccace8e01cd070222467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 5,303$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 9c | 1,250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 34c | 600$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.62 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 72c | 329.87$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 63c | 228.49$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 63c | 128$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 67c | 108$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 63c | 103$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 71.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 35c | 53.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 67c | 28.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.