Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs Paarl Royals (Game Eliminator)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe695fdd24d6c7b6c0c2f465b3e52327abfbdacbb1745354e3134603a21519caf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paarl Royalsof Joburg Super Kings, Paarl Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paarl Royals | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Paarl Royals | 74c | 1,343$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.93 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Paarl Royals | 76c | 1,262$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked Joburg Super Kings | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Paarl Royals | 57c | 1,001$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.94 | 329 | 46.2%152 W · 177 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Joburg Super Kings | 49c | 905.68$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Paarl Royals | 73c | 789.92$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Joburg Super Kings | 26c | 762.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Joburg Super Kings | 49c | 739.03$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.91 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Joburg Super Kings | 38c | 606.24$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.25 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 15c | 582.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Joburg Super Kings | 37c | 544.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Paarl Royals | 51c | 492.8$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.47 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +209.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Paarl Royals | 54c | 492.43$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.82 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Joburg Super Kings | 26c | 450.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.08 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…ba85backed Joburg Super Kings | 48c | 403.83$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paarl Royals | 77c | 370.65$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Joburg Super Kings | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Joburg Super Kings | 13c | 270.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Joburg Super Kings | 16c | 249.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Joburg Super Kings | 51c | 235.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5102backed Joburg Super Kings | 14c | 221.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…8cf9backed Joburg Super Kings | 35c | 219.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Joburg Super Kings | 10c | 218.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Joburg Super Kings | 17c | 211.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paarl Royals | 50c | 207.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…0118backed Paarl Royals | 52c | 206$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…381dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 48c | 203$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…d589backed Joburg Super Kings | 48c | 202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…806bbacked Joburg Super Kings | 48c | 202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…5784backed Paarl Royals | 52c | 202$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…1950backed Paarl Royals | 52c | 201$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759e…64b6backed Joburg Super Kings | 48c | 201$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…1493backed Joburg Super Kings | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Joburg Super Kings | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c4…9efabacked Paarl Royals | 52c | 199$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Paarl Royals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Paarl Royals | 53c | 190.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Joburg Super Kings | 12c | 189.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Paarl Royals | 53c | 187.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Paarl Royals | 51c | 145$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…776abacked Joburg Super Kings | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x642b…6b61backed Joburg Super Kings | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Joburg Super Kings | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…ecffbacked Joburg Super Kings | 45c | 89.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed Paarl Royals | 73c | 88.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Joburg Super Kings | 38c | 80.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Joburg Super Kings | 42c | 74.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Paarl Royals | 72c | 63.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Paarl Royals | 50c | 62.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Joburg Super Kings | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Paarl Royals | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…7038backed Joburg Super Kings | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Joburg Super Kings | 41c | 50.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Joburg Super Kings | 49c | 49.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Joburg Super Kings | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Joburg Super Kings | 31c | 37.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Paarl Royals | 52c | 24.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Paarl Royals | 52c | 24.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894b…93ccbacked Paarl Royals | 52c | 19.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.