TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc8a…4b6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Cricket, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT8749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.29
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$28.17
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.7%+$30.67
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.56
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$71.13
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+49.1%+$5.15
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$111.16
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$38.83
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.24
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+163.2%+$17.91
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+52.9%+$39.92
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+45.6%+$34.23
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.8
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+60.8%+$54.1
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$13.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.93
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+32%+$3.63
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$123.86
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$48.64
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$34.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.9%+$25.37
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.4
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34.9%+$8.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+62.5%+$18.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+27.6%+$12.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.