NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ec0ca8f30ad31b77cad75e886d5234a76ec2234d8babd668bb95cbd744a8d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Heat, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,215,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,284,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,215,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 870 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks | 33c | 255,522$84,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,322.19 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 67c | 164,359$110,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,120.83 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 33c | 69,995$22,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,032.01 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 67c | 57,093$38,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,252.5 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 68c | 47,738$32,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,386.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 67c | 36,237$24,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,448.16 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Heat | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Heat | 67c | 23,462$15,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,719.35 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 27c | 20,674$5,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,649.44 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Bucks | 33c | 20,619$6,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,839.01 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 34c | 18,204$6,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,947.41 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Heat | 53c | 16,422$8,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,691.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 68c | 15,850$10,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,816.44 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Heat | 59c | 13,529$8,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,025.77 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Heat | 55c | 12,989$7,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,085.27 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Bucks | 31c | 12,950$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,935.46 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 56c | 12,915$7,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,174.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 40c | 12,832$5,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.92 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 41c | 12,708$5,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,526.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Heat | 68c | 12,015$8,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,170.38 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Bucks | 32c | 10,159$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,926.14 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Heat | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 1c | 9,681$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 67c | 9,280$6,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,227.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bucks | 33c | 7,777$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.59 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 75c | 7,593$5,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.08 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Bucks | 32c | 7,303$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.13 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bucks | 38c | 7,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Heat | 57c | 6,728$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.04 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Heat | 69c | 6,270$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 68c | 6,139$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.02 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 68c | 6,125$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,162.37 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Bucks | 31c | 6,080$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.06 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Heat | 65c | 5,880$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.98 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 40c | 5,868$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.09 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bucks | 34c | 5,820$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,841.2 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Bucks | 32c | 5,015$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.63 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Bucks | 33c | 5,000$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.23 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 38c | 4,406$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Bucks | 37c | 4,246$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.63 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bucks | 32c | 4,081$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.39 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Heat | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Bucks | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Heat | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.89 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Heat | 67c | 3,995$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.62 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Heat | 69c | 3,973$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.81 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bucks | 36c | 3,851$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.64 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Heat | 1c | 3,828$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Heat | 67c | 3,786$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.23 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Bucks | 17c | 3,719$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.72 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Heat | 68c | 3,676$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 67c | 3,554$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Heat | 1c | 3,068$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 65c | 3,063$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 33c | 3,050$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 58c | 3,032$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.67 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Bucks | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…069ebacked Heat | 69c | 3,001$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Heat | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Heat | 57c | 2,940$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…5a02backed Heat | 51c | 2,892$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.37 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Heat | 52c | 2,872$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks | 30c | 2,820$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.73 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…d1e3backed Bucks | 37c | 2,761$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.22 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed Heat | 68c | 2,701$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…b77ebacked Heat | 68c | 2,678$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 67c | 2,585$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks | 45c | 2,569$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.69 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Heat | 60c | 2,374$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.14 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Heat | 65c | 2,368$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.84 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Heat | 66c | 2,318$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.02 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Heat | 64c | 2,312$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc549…47febacked Bucks | 33c | 2,262$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…a71cbacked Heat | 71c | 2,214$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.84 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Heat | 60c | 2,161$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Heat | 68c | 2,110$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.59 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…4238backed Bucks | 43c | 2,052$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.46 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Bucks | 48c | 2,029$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.27 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Bucks | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Bucks | 31c | 1,992$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.39 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Bucks | 47c | 1,973$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.45 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Heat | 68c | 1,945$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.55 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Heat | 69c | 1,934$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bucks | 37c | 1,914$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.59 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Heat | 68c | 1,843$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.28 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bucks | 27c | 1,832$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.05 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 67c | 1,781$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…7293backed Heat | 1c | 1,755$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Heat | 60c | 1,724$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.57 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Heat | 59c | 1,697$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 67c | 1,687$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.21 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3df…beefbacked Bucks | 31c | 1,649$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e8…abbbbacked Bucks | 31c | 1,625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.05 | 312 | 51.9%162 W · 150 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Bucks | 33c | 1,620$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…6e2cbacked Bucks | 34c | 1,529$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.41 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…22b6backed Bucks | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Heat | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.07 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Bucksthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-2.5)Bucks won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Heat vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Bucks won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.