NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2035eb63de68a6d18a830775b1b7fc0c5288ab5fada138140cc63a71fc81ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Heat, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,899.99 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Heat | 52c | 20,991$10,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,887.34 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Heat | 53c | 19,574$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400.38 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 53c | 18,245$9,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,669.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 47c | 11,126$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,896.78 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Heat | 53c | 10,889$5,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,771.18 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1135backed Bucks | 48c | 10,314$4,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,363.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 47c | 8,577$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 55c | 5,595$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Bucks | 48c | 5,352$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.08 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ba…b93dbacked Bucks | 46c | 5,288$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Heat | 54c | 5,279$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.44 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…559fbacked Heat | 54c | 5,213$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…43afbacked Bucks | 46c | 5,213$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…e1efbacked Heat | 54c | 4,909$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Heat | 54c | 4,781$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.12 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…414ebacked Bucks | 46c | 4,141$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…5686backed Heat | 54c | 4,112$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…069ebacked Heat | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 46c | 3,968$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.76 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…9e80backed Heat | 54c | 3,866$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…0024backed Bucks | 46c | 3,455$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bucks | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.48 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…bc07backed Bucks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Bucks | 48c | 2,888$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.52 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Bucks | 47c | 2,205$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.53 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 53c | 1,992$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.2 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Bucks | 47c | 1,909$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.82 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 42c | 1,793$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 52c | 1,602$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Heat | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 48c | 1,588$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.18 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 47c | 1,536$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.08 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,458$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 47c | 1,342$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks | 60c | 1,204$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.52 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 50c | 1,001$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Bucks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3df…beefbacked Bucks | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Bucks | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 53c | 836.8$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c15fbacked Bucks | 46c | 733.12$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.88 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 46c | 667.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Bucks | 46c | 663$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.22 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Bucks | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.09 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Bucks | 47c | 568.09$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.09 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bucks | 46c | 442.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.01 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bucks | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Heat | 46c | 330$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bucks | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…4153backed Bucks | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Bucks | 46c | 291$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Bucks | 48c | 275.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bucks | 48c | 244.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Heat | 53c | 215.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 47c | 192.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Heat | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Heat | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bucks | 47c | 179.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Heat | 54c | 153$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks | 51c | 150.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Heat | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Bucks | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Bucks | 48c | 146.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 47c | 135.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Heat | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Heat | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Heat | 52c | 124$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bucks | 47c | 122.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…b4adbacked Heat | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Bucks | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Heat | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Heat | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Heat | 54c | 99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 50c | 98.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Heat | 54c | 93.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Bucks | 51c | 84.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Heat | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Bucks | 48c | 81.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Bucks | 48c | 79.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 47c | 77.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Bucks | 48c | 76.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bucks | 61c | 71.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…8b54backed Bucks | 48c | 70.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Heat | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…03fcbacked Bucks | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Bucks | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Heat | 32c | 67.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Heat | 47c | 64.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 57c | 62.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Bucks | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Bucks | 48c | 59.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 47c | 54.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 50c | 53.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Bucks | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Heat | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Heat | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heat | 31c | 46.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-2.5)Bucks won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Heat vs. BucksBucks won
- Heat vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Bucks won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.