TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7f0…4a2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
391
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT31947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 319 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$30.91
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.05
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$36.86
Spread: Thunder (-20.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$8.76
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.85
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.71
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$48.2
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.72
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+87%+$20.93
Spread: Nuggets (-17.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.53
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.53
Spread: Hornets (-16.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.24
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Spread: Hornets (-16.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.14
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$45.39
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$38.54
Showing 25 of 319 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT6758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.67
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.02
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.2
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.2
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.35
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$37.98
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.09
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$38.48
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.05
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.66
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.57
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.06
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$111.94
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$51.06
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.3
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$30.24
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.05
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Senators vs. Islandersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.78
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+142.8%+$197.04
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.