NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aab66a5eb5592031895fffcdedebcdb626155c7e4b95e3c8344b2aace04deab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Kraken | 39c | 112,550$43,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,894.6 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 61c | 67,000$40,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,130 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Kraken | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.98 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kings | 58c | 23,459$13,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,852.65 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kings | 79c | 16,785$13,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.91 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Kings | 59c | 8,443$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.62 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Kraken | 17c | 7,723$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 71c | 7,145$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.52 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Kraken | 28c | 7,045$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.95 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Kraken | 42c | 6,798$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kings | 61c | 6,451$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.55 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken | 41c | 6,036$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.75 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 40c | 5,928$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.06 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kraken | 42c | 5,476$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…977ebacked Kings | 61c | 5,409$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 66c | 5,107$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.4 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Kraken | 41c | 4,990$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kings | 60c | 4,961$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.39 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…769fbacked Kings | 75c | 4,200$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 12c | 3,857$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.22 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Kraken | 39c | 3,487$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.1 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Kings | 59c | 3,252$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.69 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Kings | 61c | 3,230$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kings | 74c | 3,097$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.08 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 41c | 3,092$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.81 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Kraken | 39c | 3,090$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Kraken | 42c | 3,080$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Kraken | 42c | 2,579$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.09 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kings | 59c | 2,500$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.07 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 64c | 2,465$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.07 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Kings | 59c | 2,430$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 59c | 2,335$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.97 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Kraken | 11c | 2,331$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.24 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Kings | 68c | 2,313$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kings | 61c | 2,095$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.64 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kraken | 2c | 2,080$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Kings | 61c | 2,059$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.01 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…433dbacked Kings | 61c | 2,005$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kings | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Kraken | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Kraken | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…0001backed Kraken | 40c | 1,899$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2b…55abbacked Kraken | 40c | 1,868$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Kraken | 5c | 1,761$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Kraken | 41c | 1,710$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.11 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…eb5ebacked Kraken | 40c | 1,701$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kings | 59c | 1,700$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kraken | 13c | 1,694$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.78 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Kings | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Kings | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Kings | 61c | 1,566$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Kings | 61c | 1,538$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.46 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Kings | 61c | 1,512$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.14 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Kings | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.97 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…13edbacked Kraken | 5c | 1,359$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Kings | 69c | 1,344$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kings | 59c | 1,342$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.59 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 61c | 1,338$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.77 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kings | 61c | 1,320$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.44 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Kings | 65c | 1,265$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 61c | 1,232$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.48 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Kings | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.51 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 42c | 1,204$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.19 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Kraken | 41c | 1,199$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.77 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Kings | 66c | 1,140$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.47 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed Kraken | 41c | 1,104$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Kraken | 41c | 1,027$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.06 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Kings | 59c | 1,016$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.53 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kraken | 41c | 1,006$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.42 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…52b4backed Kings | 58c | 999.95$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc19…0650backed Kraken | 41c | 999.8$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Kraken | 14c | 990.07$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kraken | 10c | 950$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 42c | 924.96$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.78 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kings | 59c | 919.98$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.31 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed Kraken | 41c | 897.26$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Kraken | 12c | 893.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed Kraken | 41c | 891$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings | 57c | 870.1$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.91 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Kings | 61c | 819.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kings | 61c | 816$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.24 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Kraken | 3c | 800.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…38e7backed Kraken | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kraken | 41c | 791.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.22 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kraken | 10c | 790.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…aa17backed Kings | 59c | 790$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Kraken | 42c | 788.11$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.01 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…e9fabacked Kraken | 41c | 780$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Kings | 61c | 778.69$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.69 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…3e65backed Kraken | 41c | 750$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…d897backed Kings | 59c | 740$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Kraken | 3c | 679.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kraken | 7c | 677.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Kraken | 18c | 677.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Kraken | 39c | 669.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.09 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Kraken | 42c | 654.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.83 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Kraken | 4c | 622.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kings | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kraken | 5c | 582.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Krakenthis page
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.