NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0925d11980bf7d3c24293c0a554be8bf9bf6aef6bb8b1d08c35c7f5b4a43300c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Kings | 41c | 1,146$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.39 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 35c | 1,059$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.52 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Kraken | 65c | 903.69$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kraken | 58c | 639.86$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.02 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kings | 38c | 481.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.47 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kraken | 58c | 479.62$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kraken | 64c | 453.28$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.09 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 55c | 419.64$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 75c | 380.47$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Kraken | 38c | 337.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kraken | 59c | 309.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 38c | 280.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.24 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Kings | 34c | 277.18$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Kings | 36c | 203.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…126fbacked Kraken | 12c | 189.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…f4b4backed Kraken | 12c | 189.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kraken | 66c | 178.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kraken | 26c | 176.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kraken | 35c | 168.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Kraken | 43c | 166.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Kraken | 12c | 142.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kings | 69c | 130.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Kings | 64c | 112.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 74c | 107.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kings | 34c | 97.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kraken | 30c | 94.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Kings | 71c | 88.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kraken | 62c | 86.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Kings | 39c | 85.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Kings | 34c | 77.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kraken | 65c | 76.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Kraken | 30c | 74.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kings | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Kraken | 66c | 65.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kraken | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Kraken | 66c | 58.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…d798backed Kraken | 63c | 58.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Kraken | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Kraken | 35c | 52.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kraken | 26c | 52.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Kings | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Kraken | 63c | 51.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kings | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Kings | 73c | 48.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Kraken | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kraken | 25c | 42.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kraken | 30c | 38.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Kings | 73c | 38.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Kings | 38c | 38.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kings | 36c | 32.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kraken | 66c | 31.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Kraken | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Kraken | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Kraken | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Kraken | 66c | 28.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Kings | 73c | 24.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Kraken | 64c | 21.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Kings | 65c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Kraken | 63c | 16.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. KrakenKings won
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.