NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d619374b2253ffbf050f6365416645a5ce21dd97d7096c113b1c287662392c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 48c | 14,377$6,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,851.6 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 6,258$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.45 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 4,277$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 46c | 2,310$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.6 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 2,028$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.32 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Over | 52c | 1,457$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.59 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.05 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 47c | 970.21$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 900$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Over | 53c | 879.95$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.58 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 63c | 760.13$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.7 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 720$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 644.09$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.72 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 619.58$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 513.65$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 54c | 453.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 52c | 428.21$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Under | 48c | 428.21$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 364.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 283.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Under | 49c | 279.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 222.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Over | 53c | 209.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 181.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 152.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 144.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 140.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 20c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 53c | 125.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 52c | 119.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 47c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 24c | 101.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 27c | 96.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 41c | 95.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 38c | 88.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 63c | 81.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 47c | 70.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 52c | 60.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…800dbacked Under | 47c | 59.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 46c | 53.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 58c | 47.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 48c | 44.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 52c | 39.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…1100backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 48c | 31.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Under | 47c | 30.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…a6d2backed Over | 39c | 30.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 57c | 29.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 28.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…e414backed Over | 54c | 27.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1477…29b6backed Under | 48c | 23.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 65c | 18.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 57c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. KrakenKings won
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.