TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6a8…800d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$33.7
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.19
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.68
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.76
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.49
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$34.07
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.92
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.53
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.99
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.61
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.19
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.15
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.02
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.91
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.61
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Spread: Suns (-12.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.63
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Hawksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.31
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.88
Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$31.9
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$84.32
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27.22
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.79
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
EC Bahia vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$23.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$36.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.