TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,367 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Under65c47,061$30,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,511.96857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over38c17,954$6,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,873.7510739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under64c15,387$9,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,548.1311349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Over38c11,336$4,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,295.559746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over35c8,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over48c7,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3601225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under52c6,538$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.427342.5%31 W · 42 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c5,253$3,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.9177342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8412649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under60c4,090$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.836066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22515255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under52c2,956$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.049134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over38c2,553$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.642,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over35c2,240$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.1532345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over26c2,187$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.623938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under58c2,034$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.3845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over34c1,912$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.985246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under65c1,384$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.761,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over36c1,300$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.853661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under64c1,292$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.252263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7748…58d7backed Under64c1,275$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over26c1,261$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9511828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over49c1,088$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.172466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c1,082$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.746,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over36c1,068$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.629250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under48c1,011$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.788445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Over55c993.74$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Over34c985.82$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.186634.8%23 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under54c922.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.8140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over35c900$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31514355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…239bbacked Under63c870.01$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…5c16backed Under59c859.69$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c815.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.72,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under58c806.73$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.835056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Under48c768.1$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.6531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under62c747.35$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5511753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over36c742.83$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4239555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed Over39c737.23$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.061428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under52c704.02$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.62850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3b…b37fbacked Over55c701.97$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over36c667.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.399752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x784f…60cbbacked Under68c628.87$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under66c599.73$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8413748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under66c593.7$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8612561.6%77 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under53c591.06$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.784540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c577.9$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.824,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over26c552.39$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.346317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over36c531.79$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5527552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over38c529.54$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.236445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c506.87$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7396645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17513858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under64c500$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4419244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19515740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under61c494.65$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5177336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over36c494.6$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0524052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over45c471.52$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9910847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over49c455.02$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9619244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under55c450.57$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.767931.6%25 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb60…03ddbacked Under65c445.22$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.831957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over50c420.03$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.263237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over35c420$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14717959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over35c420$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14718156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c418.32$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over21c410.7$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0241343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c405.39$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.059724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Under48c404.06$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-73.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over36c392.92$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5111555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over35c385.59$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9613855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over36c382.97$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8723556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over35c380$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13329343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under68c372.46$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5361143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over43c371.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.026160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under66c371.06$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1616757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over35c370$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.516858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Over58c365.12$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.691353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over35c326.92$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.421,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over37c317.16$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.689352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Under62c316.8$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.384630.4%14 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c316.55$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.121,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under63c311.16$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.628953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10511457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under67c298.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4917048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Over38c296.11$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.561942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Over35c293.31$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.998041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under49c290.82$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.322142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1628859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2104…b10fbacked Under73c264.34$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over36c260$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.610252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over56c259.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3715263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x438f…d762backed Over49c256.21$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.