Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bba45570750329100182b8791c7df669fbb034537c79b3dc8406a81ab670d6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 65c | 47,061$30,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,511.9 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 38c | 17,954$6,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,873.75 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under | 64c | 15,387$9,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.13 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Over | 38c | 11,336$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.55 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 52c | 6,538$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.42 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 5,253$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.91 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.84 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 60c | 4,090$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.83 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 52c | 2,956$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.04 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 2,553$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.64 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 35c | 2,240$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.15 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 26c | 2,187$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.62 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 58c | 2,034$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.38 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 34c | 1,912$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.98 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 65c | 1,384$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.76 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 36c | 1,300$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.85 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 64c | 1,292$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Under | 64c | 1,275$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 1,261$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.95 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.17 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,082$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 36c | 1,068$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.6 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 48c | 1,011$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.78 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Over | 55c | 993.74$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Over | 34c | 985.82$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.18 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 922.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.81 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 35c | 900$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…239bbacked Under | 63c | 870.01$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…5c16backed Under | 59c | 859.69$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 61c | 815.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.7 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 58c | 806.73$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.83 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 48c | 768.1$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.65 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 62c | 747.35$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.55 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 36c | 742.83$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.42 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…b594backed Over | 39c | 737.23$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 52c | 704.02$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…b37fbacked Over | 55c | 701.97$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 36c | 667.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…60cbbacked Under | 68c | 628.87$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 66c | 599.73$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.84 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 66c | 593.7$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 53c | 591.06$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.78 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 577.9$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 26c | 552.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 36c | 531.79$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.55 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 38c | 529.54$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 506.87$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.73 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 64c | 500$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.44 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 61c | 494.65$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 36c | 494.6$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 45c | 471.52$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 49c | 455.02$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.96 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 55c | 450.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…03ddbacked Under | 65c | 445.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 50c | 420.03$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.26 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 35c | 420$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 35c | 420$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 418.32$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 21c | 410.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 405.39$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed Under | 48c | 404.06$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 36c | 392.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 35c | 385.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 36c | 382.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 35c | 380$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 68c | 372.46$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 43c | 371.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 66c | 371.06$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 35c | 370$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Over | 58c | 365.12$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 35c | 326.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 37c | 317.16$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Under | 62c | 316.8$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 316.55$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 63c | 311.16$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Under | 67c | 298.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 38c | 296.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Over | 35c | 293.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…b10fbacked Under | 73c | 264.34$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 36c | 260$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 56c | 259.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…d762backed Over | 49c | 256.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.