TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6af9…a022

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+349.6%+$2,149.8
Nagoya Grampus vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$199.68
FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,095
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.33
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.35
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$115.03
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.27
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+59%+$36.29
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.31
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99.24
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$100
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.15
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$216.61
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$452.6
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$388
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.98
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.35
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$275.25
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.04
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$148.32
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.1%+$170.76
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$207
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.99
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$264.37
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$60.72
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.87
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$176
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.58
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$281.99
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$295.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+484.8%+$4,144.91
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.99
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.99
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.78
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.99
Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+170%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$1,972.7
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$780
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.21
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$416
Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$95.06
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+149.9%+$59.99
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$128.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+172.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$414
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.