South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eea0a50391dd7007ac1b9d679e4b61da3e444e2e5b606c3a9a49d438aa900e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 60c | 51,457$30,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,874.48 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 41,811$16,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,086.6 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 2,723$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.68 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…7120backed Over | 49c | 2,421$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 2,265$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.93 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Over | 15c | 1,456$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 40c | 1,171$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.6 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 999.49$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 52c | 967.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 51c | 800.1$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 41c | 732.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.56 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 702.69$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.73 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 58c | 700$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.38 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 61c | 688.52$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 645.63$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 24c | 599.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 40c | 408.85$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.31 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 25c | 401.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 38c | 341$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 328.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Under | 52c | 266.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 60c | 251.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 40c | 250.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 231.38$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 39c | 211.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 158.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Over | 32c | 148.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Under | 71c | 140.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 132.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 50c | 120.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 110.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63f…793cbacked Under | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…c6e4backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 38c | 86.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Under | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 61c | 74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 32c | 61.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 71c | 58.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 71c | 55.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 49c | 50.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 74c | 49.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 45.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 66c | 34.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 46c | 28.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…d358backed Over | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 72c | 24.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 57c | 20.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Under | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Under | 77c | 19.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 64c | 16.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.