South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5be15359f374a27272e55521673a8cf72f4b6551aa4b5686b5fbb9707c1e135d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 38c | 50,183$19,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,065.03 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 46,413$28,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,630.89 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 75c | 4,600$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 35c | 1,350$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 1,210$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 1,120$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 66c | 516.24$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.52 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 514.02$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 8c | 315.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 26c | 271.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 260.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 63c | 260$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 75c | 160.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 101.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 98.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 91.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 78c | 90.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 67c | 86.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 37c | 83.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 66c | 75.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 71c | 70.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 69c | 56.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 34c | 40.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 68c | 39.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 37.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Under | 66c | 27.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 63c | 27.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 62c | 22.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…57c7backed Under | 65c | 18.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Under | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.