South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42c8ffde5d4fe05c771456048b621794dabe004812efa457d5fcd88980532c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 42c | 4,770$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 54c | 3,107$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.3 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 2,377$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 70c | 1,833$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.3 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 53c | 754.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.71 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 354.27$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 343.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 58c | 297.69$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.36 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 254.49$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 49c | 248.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 54c | 202.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 38c | 199.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…570cbacked Over | 50c | 181.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 55c | 123.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 55c | 123.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…7120backed Over | 66c | 88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 60c | 83.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 63.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 40.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…ef6abacked Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 74c | 16.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…3340backed Over | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.