South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3502bea10642ed0c04c53687c27ef6d12dc46a9e9df087fa1c2160dbf5f07d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pumas de la UNAMof Pumas de la UNAM, Atlético San Luis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2461…f240backed Pumas de la UNAM | 26c | 870.37$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlético San Luis | 72c | 450.73$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…f3bdbacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 169.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…c8d8backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 169.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…ca47backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 168.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…0759backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 167.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…3862backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 167.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…2a1fbacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 166.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…7796backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 165.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c8…d9a1backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 165.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…49fabacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 165.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…80febacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 165.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…915abacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 164.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ca…cbddbacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 164.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…98efbacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 164.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…16e5backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 164.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…3de7backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 164.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c3…aa04backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 164.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…7159backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 163.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc988…c19fbacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 163.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…bae4backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 163.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2c…00acbacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 163.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf01…92fabacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 163.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…eca1backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 163.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…0a58backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 162.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4a…36b7backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 162.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…5f71backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 162.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…922cbacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 162.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c3…0093backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 161.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…2562backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 160.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…ee16backed Atlético San Luis | 49c | 159.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd725…c9ebbacked Atlético San Luis | 49c | 158.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Pumas de la UNAM | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Atlético San Luis | 75c | 123.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Atlético San Luis | 75c | 123.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Atlético San Luis | 79c | 108$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Atlético San Luis | 74c | 15.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.