TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c73…dd8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.13
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.3
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.87
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.91
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.54
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$11.34
Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.18
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$58.36
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$17.07
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$16.38
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$77.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$4.72
Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$27.87
Rangers FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.4
PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.54
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$18.24
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$40.94
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.53
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$19.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$16.89
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$25.92
Argentina to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$11.91
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.38
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will Benin win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+79%+$35.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.15
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$7.83
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.69
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.98
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.81
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$8.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.95
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.21
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.