Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860eb04ddb40871ea253500a45b8a1567638b697c73de753d45ee85f18b202a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,988 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 2,078$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.78 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 26c | 1,754$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.67 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed No | 39c | 1,712$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 56c | 1,646$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.95 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,558$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.12 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 37c | 1,457$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.13 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 4c | 832.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 26c | 750$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed Yes | 37c | 655.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed Yes | 37c | 650.09$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 62c | 600.17$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 25c | 499.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 442.5$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.42 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 398.58$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.95 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…c09abacked Yes | 39c | 367.87$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 36c | 332$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 283.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 27c | 282.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 62c | 280.58$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 245.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 184$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 63c | 175.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 171.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 39c | 168.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 24c | 146.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Yes | 39c | 139.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 17c | 119.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 62c | 116.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 56c | 109$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 51c | 100.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 97.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 89.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 59c | 89.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 25c | 78.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 66c | 78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 38c | 69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Yes | 36c | 68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…547fbacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 28c | 62.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…1c27backed Yes | 76c | 58.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 63c | 58.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Yes | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed Yes | 42c | 53.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 22c | 53.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 62c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 59c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 60c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Yes | 33c | 42.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed No | 62c | 41.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 70c | 41.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e7…1d7bbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 74c | 22.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d19…9c02backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 22.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 63c | 21.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Yes | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 78c | 12.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.