Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5850d822592e1e47944f561304da9175f5901088140d637c57117130d8febad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,940 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 60c | 54,723$32,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,009.8 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 59c | 31,226$18,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,802.74 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 39c | 22,913$8,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,993.01 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Yes | 39c | 14,825$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,773.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Yes | 41c | 9,755$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 41c | 9,533$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,878.12 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 7,017$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.73 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 38c | 6,532$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.2 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 41c | 4,942$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.32 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Yes | 41c | 3,687$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 3,016$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.25 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 43c | 2,341$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 2,044$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.22 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 43c | 1,770$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 1,327$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.28 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 62c | 1,294$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.09 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 41c | 1,205$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Yes | 37c | 1,162$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 41c | 1,073$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 62c | 850.42$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 41c | 833.6$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.78 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 41c | 823.17$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 40c | 817$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.31 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 43c | 776.65$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.93 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Yes | 9c | 682$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 8c | 602.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 43c | 508.89$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.94 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 38c | 502.63$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 487.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Yes | 40c | 451.28$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 15c | 433.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 427.59$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 13c | 394$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 387.15$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 375.77$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.07 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 61c | 369.13$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 293.9$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…b673backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked No | 57c | 249.61$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 7c | 243.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 62c | 238.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 41c | 201.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 42c | 200.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Yes | 7c | 176.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 60c | 175.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 169.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 41c | 164.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 35c | 148.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 38c | 144$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…42eebacked Yes | 41c | 142.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Yes | 39c | 138$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 40c | 124.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes | 41c | 122.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 39c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Yes | 41c | 117.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 78c | 116.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 57c | 115.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 44c | 113.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 108.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 108.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Yes | 40c | 100.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…764cbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 38c | 99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 41c | 90.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 37c | 88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked No | 57c | 81.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 55c | 81.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 58c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 20c | 71.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 56c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 62c | 59.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 41c | 56.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…0f11backed Yes | 36c | 55.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 40c | 52.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 39c | 50.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 61c | 45.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 41c | 45.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.