TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b41…764c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$516.75
Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.1
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$130.51
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.6
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$41.52
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.27
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$57.29
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.18
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.27
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$173.09
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.73
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$87.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$82.43
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$125.15
Will Netherlands vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.84
Will Hungary win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$227.55
Will Slovenia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+235.7%+$367.81
Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024.7
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$207.38
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$81.08
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$86.35
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$303.17
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$242.05
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.79
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$30.23
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$176.08
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$557.97
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$40.54
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.73
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$150.89
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$13.42
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.