TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: STATE vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
STATEof STATE, CSDIILIT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,768 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked CSDIILIT55c5,106$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.527,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed STATE44c4,484$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.312752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked CSDIILIT52c3,440$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.422,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked STATE50c1,667$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.3675056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed STATE51c1,601$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.56,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked CSDIILIT37c1,600$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59284454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca1…fc58backed STATE64c1,584$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.71080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed CSDIILIT48c1,451$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70041847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked STATE51c1,144$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.8136253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed STATE51c999.96$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9843455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed STATE61c948$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.834,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d87…a82bbacked STATE54c858.62$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.555244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed CSDIILIT40c846.6$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.8747053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed STATE35c705.66$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.8210651.9%55 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7525…0ec1backed CSDIILIT47c675.87$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked CSDIILIT42c636.88$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.813,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked CSDIILIT35c557.49$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.343,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed CSDIILIT34c529.72$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.959852%51 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked CSDIILIT49c523.77$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed CSDIILIT45c506.2$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6180744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked STATE52c502.75$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.342,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed STATE60c500.3$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8413857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed CSDIILIT35c453.83$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.331,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed CSDIILIT50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006747.8%32 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked CSDIILIT46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed CSDIILIT39c384.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed STATE51c352.78$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.865,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…23d9backed CSDIILIT34c348.51$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked CSDIILIT64c345.36$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209139.6%36 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed STATE49c321.7$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9264854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…c1c3backed STATE50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505574.5%41 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed CSDIILIT49c299.96$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9810442.3%44 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed CSDIILIT48c298.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.517839.7%31 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed CSDIILIT34c290.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2710426%27 W · 77 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked STATE66c283$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1354346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e55…16d5backed CSDIILIT62c279.41$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.291163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked STATE58c260.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.188855.7%49 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed STATE46c260.02$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.245,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked CSDIILIT46c248.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2653…b7d7backed CSDIILIT64c238.81$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x803f…b6b3backed STATE35c225.4$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.057436.5%27 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed STATE61c218.68$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.868146.9%38 W · 43 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked STATE65c218$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2449745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed STATE35c216.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.949347.3%44 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed STATE45c213.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6343933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed STATE47c205.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1123146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked STATE68c203$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9614046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed CSDIILIT54c202.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.451,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked CSDIILIT49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9825337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed STATE53c194.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9438552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed CSDIILIT16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017546.3%81 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed CSDIILIT50c183.68$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.256848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked CSDIILIT70c182$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.988844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x686d…9eb4backed STATE73c179.09$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5fc…28abbacked CSDIILIT49c176$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.251735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed STATE39c174.86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.071,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa512…175cbacked CSDIILIT47c170.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked STATE64c157$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9248948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa6…c89ebacked CSDIILIT13c156.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6df…1cf4backed CSDIILIT49c153.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed CSDIILIT50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed CSDIILIT53c146.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6114953.7%80 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked CSDIILIT41c144.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.371951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe980…57c9backed STATE50c136.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.163259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3187…9476backed STATE50c136.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.161566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed CSDIILIT21c134.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6917230.8%53 W · 119 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8dc…ce0cbacked STATE73c134$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked CSDIILIT18c130.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.534542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed CSDIILIT48c130.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.262556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655e…6d34backed STATE72c129$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe2…0d54backed STATE79c125$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.256758.2%39 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb3…6bfebacked CSDIILIT49c120.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.867540%30 W · 45 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71f4…4856backed STATE72c119$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed CSDIILIT38c118.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6745224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed CSDIILIT76c115.84$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d0e…13aabacked CSDIILIT50c112.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1715638.5%60 W · 96 L-19.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc10a…46b5backed STATE65c110$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed CSDIILIT16c106.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed STATE31c105$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.547641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed CSDIILIT48c103.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3387244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed CSDIILIT51c102.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0232443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed CSDIILIT48c100.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1151755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked STATE50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.595642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9810…b0debacked CSDIILIT48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.58247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked CSDIILIT45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517246.5%80 W · 92 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x893d…d65bbacked CSDIILIT52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed STATE53c94.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.626741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed CSDIILIT49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.18733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedaa…89b4backed STATE43c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.424535.9%88 W · 157 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed CSDIILIT56c87.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3395849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed STATE28c86.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.548066.3%53 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x143d…de7cbacked STATE58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed STATE39c84.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6232138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked CSDIILIT36c82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.143,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked CSDIILIT32c77.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3660147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed STATE68c76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5346344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked STATE39c73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5412469.4%86 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked STATE52c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3618751.3%96 W · 91 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed STATE51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6332951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed STATE62c68.08$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.085750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.