TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd73e…bb87

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
292
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT13857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: OG vs Metizport (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.69
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$106.5
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$101.35
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.9
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$34.75
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$78.38
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inbacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$27.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$20.11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66.79
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$54.13
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$33.85
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group Abacked Subtop De France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Counter-Strike: Vexar vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Bbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.47
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.27
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winnerbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$181.76
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.86
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs SINQU (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group Abacked SINQU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$64.54
Counter-Strike: mellren vs VP.Prodigy - Map 2 Winnerbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Counter-Strike: mellren vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$169.32
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.52
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.5
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.06
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$62.86
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$73.64
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$55
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.51
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.08
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$65.65
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$44.98
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$122
Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.24
Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming: Draw (1-1)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.42
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.29
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.96
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.51
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.77
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$195.78
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$116.59
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.11
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$156
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.67
KHL: Torpedo vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$170.85
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$67.15
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.66
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.74
Utah vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.24
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Spartak Moscowbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$349
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$245.34
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$72.86
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$90.9
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$153.78
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$63.79
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$90.99
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$99.45
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mandel Nallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.96
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Croden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.51
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gokhan Saricam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105.88
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jamey-Lyn Horth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.99
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Shem Rock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.55
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$125.55
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.87
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$124.31
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oumar Sy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.35
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$140.93
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$221.43
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Elijah Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Brad Tavares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.83
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hecher Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Piera Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$111.65
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.08
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.36
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$177.92
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$56.97
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$288
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$197.14
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$80.16
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$152.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$67.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.