TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-Zero Tenacityof ex-Zero Tenacity, Vexar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Vexar34c12,087$4,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,146.3763157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed ex-Zero Tenacity68c11,293$7,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,581.4316051.3%82 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Vexar32c4,769$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.0251942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Vexar33c2,130$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.875,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc8…d632backed ex-Zero Tenacity64c1,720$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.581883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.4wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+47.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0685…523dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity70c1,618$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4861392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd081…306bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity62c1,340$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.441172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44ea…7668backed Vexar33c1,195$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003976.9%30 W · 9 L+7.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+36.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed ex-Zero Tenacity62c953.09$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4321850.9%111 W · 107 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Vexar26c718.03$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.553,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…9995backed ex-Zero Tenacity62c699.99$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5657…42a6backed ex-Zero Tenacity67c682.96$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.578048.8%39 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Vexar35c564.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.316963.3%107 W · 62 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed ex-Zero Tenacity66c550.77$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3323356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2666…8d0dbacked Vexar31c490.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity73c477.22$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8922257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity62c417.39$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.43,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed ex-Zero Tenacity62c337.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.829543.1%127 W · 168 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed ex-Zero Tenacity69c326.1$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1961054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity64c323.31$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.223,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Vexar32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8411831.4%37 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Vexar36c279.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar34c220.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521845.9%100 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Vexar29c220$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.641050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity64c195.22$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.285,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bb…a7d5backed Vexar18c193.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity62c191.15$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.572,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Vexar18c172$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.792,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c8…46eebacked ex-Zero Tenacity63c170$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.16053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed ex-Zero Tenacity60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6831749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e8…6113backed ex-Zero Tenacity74c168.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.42771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed Vexar12c168.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9915823.4%37 W · 121 L-18.0wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Vexar25c150.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.091,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed ex-Zero Tenacity62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579662.5%60 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed ex-Zero Tenacity72c124.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7513857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ex-Zero Tenacity72c121$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.482,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Vexar16c102.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed ex-Zero Tenacity80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017361.3%106 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.111460.5%69 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x40c2…aef7backed ex-Zero Tenacity79c93.53$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.334252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity66c88.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.792,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ee…a0bbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity68c81.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.264761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity70c57.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.298947.2%42 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Vexar30c54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…7f97backed ex-Zero Tenacity66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Vexar36c38.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.791,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca6…291cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity78c37.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.241040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity68c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.791,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x599e…6578backed ex-Zero Tenacity71c23.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.011435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe777…dee0backed ex-Zero Tenacity74c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.