TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-Zero Tenacityof ex-Zero Tenacity, Vexar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6fb0…6cebbacked ex-Zero Tenacity66c13,042$8,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…08c5backed ex-Zero Tenacity67c7,576$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ex-Zero Tenacity73c2,849$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.311,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked ex-Zero Tenacity48c2,557$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.051,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Vexar46c2,513$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.5541050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ea…ec86backed Vexar26c2,252$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.5650%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed Vexar27c1,900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5138570.6%60 W · 25 L+18.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x792c…d2ecbacked Vexar49c1,874$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.273363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7759…4ea4backed Vexar19c1,858$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Vexar40c1,828$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.822257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ea…7668backed Vexar59c1,819$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.423976.9%30 W · 9 L+7.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+36.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Vexar38c1,801$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.045,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x181a…0e8abacked Vexar50c1,780$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ee…a0bbbacked Vexar1c1,600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bcd…0a69backed ex-Zero Tenacity50c1,248$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.379349.5%46 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked ex-Zero Tenacity51c1,228$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.7419357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed ex-Zero Tenacity63c1,212$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.2216051.3%82 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e54…b186backed Vexar26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30070%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity57c1,129$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.345,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed Vexar28c1,069$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.625251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f9…55f8backed Vexar3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Vexar58c998.99$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.3223356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Vexar40c992.15$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.7512455.6%69 W · 55 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Vexar52c905.81$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.6563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5657…42a6backed Vexar45c857.55$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.758048.8%39 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity44c849.39$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.833,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-Zero Tenacity57c801.42$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.142,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54e…4a99backed Vexar51c780.57$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.454761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Vexar22c755$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7594645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Vexar18c754.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7215346.4%71 W · 82 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Vexar36c708.22$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3320447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd30b…2acdbacked Vexar43c698.95$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.554961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity60c681.13$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.323,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Vexar52c673.19$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7229543.1%127 W · 168 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3936…6e40backed Vexar25c659.67$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.921827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+340.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Vexar52c647.95$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2351942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed ex-Zero Tenacity59c575$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.533849.7%168 W · 170 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f9…fb40backed Vexar43c523$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.891145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-Zero Tenacity40c517.31$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.822,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed Vexar37c508.49$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1221850.9%111 W · 107 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73bb…a7d5backed ex-Zero Tenacity42c483.12$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.141952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Vexar49c480.89$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3522740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Vexar20c470.6$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1227438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed ex-Zero Tenacity54c452.55$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.171662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Vexar29c410$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.940247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity73c399.99$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10916550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Vexar46c363.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.413,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar48c358.46$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.821845.9%100 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity48c335$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.749536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Vexar33c333.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104141.5%17 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03dc…99e1backed Vexar43c330.32$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed ex-Zero Tenacity45c330$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.538052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed ex-Zero Tenacity54c328.45$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3946555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc8…d632backed ex-Zero Tenacity80c324.13$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.831883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.4wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+47.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity54c313.19$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.161942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Vexar33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Vexar33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993151.6%16 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd081…306bbacked Vexar44c278.24$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80b1…1a8cbacked Vexar47c276.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed Vexar27c274$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.156743.3%29 W · 38 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked ex-Zero Tenacity54c271.89$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.519933.3%33 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Vexar33c266.66$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883948.7%19 W · 20 L+7.3wins+0.19per pick30cpaid+67.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Vexar74c265.47$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3616963.3%107 W · 62 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c8…46eebacked Vexar38c260.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.746053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c4…4c30backed ex-Zero Tenacity37c256.85$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.821861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Vexar33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked ex-Zero Tenacity63c250$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.722455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Vexar28c225$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636944.9%31 W · 38 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xece5…6de0backed Vexar45c220$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5513449.3%66 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed Vexar37c219$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.55851.7%30 W · 28 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed Vexar69c200$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.417361.3%106 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Vexar58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11631749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0685…523dbacked Vexar55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Vexar14c187.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.672,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Vexar44c186.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7816945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Vexar43c183.72$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7926554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Vexar33c180$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed Vexar67c179.84$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.913857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa28e…1654backed ex-Zero Tenacity45c172.34$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.252030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Vexar36c150.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6711221.4%24 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed ex-Zero Tenacity56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6683856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Vexar35c146.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.613537%50 W · 85 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e2…5405backed Vexar33c137$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.212352.2%12 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+59.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf800…e928backed Vexar49c136.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.157758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Vexar54c136$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.444346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Vexar53c125$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.652560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity45c122$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.17834.6%27 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed Vexar37c118.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.594822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Vexar34c117$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8222837.3%85 W · 143 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked ex-Zero Tenacity73c110$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.325551.8%132 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d7…a08abacked Vexar50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.251457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity60c101.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.922,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed ex-Zero Tenacity74c100.01$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2588330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked ex-Zero Tenacity36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6430349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed ex-Zero Tenacity46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e5…ee75backed Vexar51c98.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.471643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f9…6c15backed ex-Zero Tenacity51c98.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.096756.7%38 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity56c96.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.342,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Vexar29c95.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.493641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.