TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96f9…6c15

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT6756.7%38 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Color vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+36%+$43.22
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$25.88
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$37.38
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.27
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$56.05
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+191.4%+$19.16
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$25.13
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Abacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.02
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$25.88
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$26.15
Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$56.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+141.3%+$56.51
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Abacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+76%+$20.07
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$70.15
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Athletics vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.85
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.72
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+169.3%+$41.54
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$33.44
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+96%+$11.92
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.13
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.66
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.15
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$14.38
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$8.57
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$17.21
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$48.81
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
All 20 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.27
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.09
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$125.22
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.24
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$328.09
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.